Forecasting tourism demand with denoised neural networks

ES Silva, H Hassani, S Heravi, X Huang - Annals of Tourism Research, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract The automated Neural Network Autoregressive (NNAR) algorithm from the forecast
package in R generates sub-optimal forecasts when faced with seasonal tourism demand …

Combining day-ahead forecasts for British electricity prices

S Bordignon, DW Bunn, F Lisi, F Nan - Energy Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
This paper considers how well the approach of combining forecasts extends to the context of
electricity prices. With the increasing popularity of regime switching and time-varying …

A review on short-term electricity price forecasting techniques for energy markets

LL Jiang, G Hu - 2018 15th International Conference on Control …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for decision-making mechanisms of
market participants to survive in the deregulated and competing commercial environment …

On the usefulness of cross-validation for directional forecast evaluation

C Bergmeir, M Costantini, JM Benítez - Computational Statistics & Data …, 2014 - Elsevier
The usefulness of a predictor evaluation framework which combines a blocked cross-
validation scheme with directional accuracy measures is investigated. The advantage of …

Forecasting the price of gold

H Hassani, ES Silva, R Gupta, MK Segnon - Applied Economics, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting
techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold …

[图书][B] International finance: theory into practice

P Sercu - 2009 - degruyter.com
International Finance presents the corporate uses of international financial markets to upper
undergraduate and graduate students of business finance and financial economics …

Unemployment hysteresis and structural change in Europe

K Akdoğan - Empirical Economics, 2017 - Springer
We examine the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis for 31 European countries, the USA
and Japan, using alternative linear and nonlinear unit root tests, taking into account possible …

On the use of singular spectrum analysis for forecasting US trade before, during and after the 2008 recession

ES Silva, H Hassani - International Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper is aimed at introducing the powerful, nonparametric time series analysis and
forecasting technique of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) for trade forecasting via an …

Modeling European industrial production with multivariate singular spectrum analysis: A cross‐industry analysis

ES Silva, H Hassani, S Heravi - Journal of Forecasting, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, an optimized multivariate singular spectrum analysis (MSSA) approach is
proposed to find leading indicators of cross‐industry relations between 24 monthly …

Forecasting exchange rates: An empirical application to Pakistani rupee

M ASADULLAH, A BASHIR… - The Journal of Asian …, 2021 - koreascience.kr
This study aims to forecast the exchange rate by a combination of different models as
proposed by Poon and Granger (2003). For this purpose, we include three univariate time …