Explaining the decline in the US employment-to-population ratio: A review of the evidence

KG Abraham, MS Kearney - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
This paper first documents trends in employment rates and then reviews what is known
about the various factors that have been proposed to explain the decline in the overall …

[PDF][PDF] Labor force transitions

R Castro, F Lange, M Poschke - 2024 - nber.org
ABSTRACT Labor Force States and flows between are useful tools to model individual
dynamics in the labor market. This chapter reviews recent literature uncovering substantial …

The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage‐Price Pass‐Through

S Heise, F Karahan, A Şahin - Journal of Money, Credit and …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Price inflation in the US has been slow to pick up in the last two decades. We show that this
missing inflation can be traced to a growing disconnect between unemployment and core …

How tight is the US labor market?

KG Abraham, JC Haltiwanger… - Brookings Papers on …, 2020 - muse.jhu.edu
We construct a generalized measure of labor market tightness based on the ratio of
vacancies to effective searchers. Our generalized measure exhibits substantially less …

[HTML][HTML] Phillips meets beveridge

R Barnichon, AH Shapiro - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
The Phillips curve plays a central role in the macroeconomics literature. However, there is
little consensus on the forcing variable that drives inflation in the model, ie, on the …

Reacting quickly and protecting jobs: The short-term impacts of the COVID-19 lockdown on the Greek labor market

G Betcherman, N Giannakopoulos, I Laliotis… - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
We use administrative, survey, and online vacancy data to analyze the short-term labor
market impacts of the COVID-19 lockdown in Greece. We find that flows into unemployment …

The shadow margins of labor market slack

RJ Faberman, AI Mueller, A ŞAHIN*… - Journal of Money …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We use a mix of new and existing data to develop the Aggregate Hours Gap (AHG), a novel
measure of labor market underutilization. Our measure differentiates individuals by detailed …

[HTML][HTML] Employment inequality: Why do the low-skilled work less now?

EL Wolcott - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Low-skilled prime-age men are less likely to be employed than high-skilled prime-age men,
and the differential has increased since the 1970s. I build a search model encompassing …

[PDF][PDF] What's the best measure of economic slack?

R Barnichon, AH Shapiro - FRBSF Economic Letter, 2022 - frbsf.org
Different ways of measuring the economy's unused capacity, or slack, can result in varying
inflation forecasts. Estimates suggest that direct measures of labor market tightness, such as …

The ins and outs of involuntary part-time employment

D Borowczyk-Martins, E Lalé - Labour Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
We develop and implement a protocol to measure US monthly time series of involuntary part-
time employment stocks and flows from 1976 until today. Armed with these new data, we …