Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study
ENSO is the strongest interannual signal in the global climate system with worldwide
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …
climatic, ecological and societal impacts. Over the past decades, the research about ENSO …
[HTML][HTML] Assessing the climate impacts of the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability using the GFDL CM2. 1 and NCAR CESM1 global coupled models
Assessing the Climate Impacts of the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using the GFDL
CM2.1 and NCAR CESM1 Global Coupled Models in: Journal of Climate Volume 30 Issue 8 …
CM2.1 and NCAR CESM1 Global Coupled Models in: Journal of Climate Volume 30 Issue 8 …
[HTML][HTML] ENSO predictability over the past 137 years based on a CESM ensemble prediction system
In this study, we conducted an ensemble retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 using
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole in the coupled models
In this study, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) predictability, measured by the Indian Dipole
Mode Index (DMI), is comprehensively examined at the seasonal time scale, including its …
Mode Index (DMI), is comprehensively examined at the seasonal time scale, including its …
[HTML][HTML] Effects of tropical cyclones on ENSO
T Lian, J Ying, HL Ren, C Zhang, T Liu… - Journal of …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Numerous studies have investigated the role of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in
modulating the activity of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western Pacific on interannual time …
modulating the activity of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western Pacific on interannual time …
Predictability of Indian Ocean Dipole Over 138 Years Using a CESM Ensemble‐Prediction System
In this study, we performed a long‐term ensemble hindcast from 1880 to 2017 (138 years)
using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and conducted a comprehensive …
using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and conducted a comprehensive …
[HTML][HTML] Attractor radius and global attractor radius and their application to the quantification of predictability limits
J Li, J Feng, R Ding - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
Quantifying the predictability limits of chaotic systems and their forecast models is an
important issue with both theoretical and practical significance. This paper introduces three …
important issue with both theoretical and practical significance. This paper introduces three …
[HTML][HTML] The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years
Here, we explored in depth the relationship among the deterministic prediction skill, the
probabilistic prediction skill and the potential predictability. This was achieved by theoretical …
probabilistic prediction skill and the potential predictability. This was achieved by theoretical …
[HTML][HTML] The predictability study of the two flavors of ENSO in the CESM model from 1881 to 2017
In this study, we evaluated the predictability of the two flavors of the El Niño Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) based on a long-term retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 with the …
Oscillation (ENSO) based on a long-term retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 with the …
Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a Community Earth System Model ensemble prediction system
T Liu, W Zhong - Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2024 - Springer
Upper ocean heat content (OHC) has been widely recognized as a crucial precursor to high-
impact climate variability, especially for that being indispensable to the long-term memory of …
impact climate variability, especially for that being indispensable to the long-term memory of …