Indicators of transitions in biological systems
CF Clements, A Ozgul - Ecology letters, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In the face of global biodiversity declines, predicting the fate of biological systems is a key
goal in ecology. One popular approach is the search for early warning signals (EWS s) …
goal in ecology. One popular approach is the search for early warning signals (EWS s) …
Implementing measurement error models with mechanistic mathematical models in a likelihood-based framework for estimation, identifiability analysis and prediction …
RJ Murphy, OJ Maclaren… - Journal of the Royal …, 2024 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Throughout the life sciences, we routinely seek to interpret measurements and observations
using parametrized mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked …
using parametrized mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked …
The basis function approach for modeling autocorrelation in ecological data
Analyzing ecological data often requires modeling the autocorrelation created by spatial and
temporal processes. Many seemingly disparate statistical methods used to account for …
temporal processes. Many seemingly disparate statistical methods used to account for …
[HTML][HTML] Including trait-based early warning signals helps predict population collapse
CF Clements, A Ozgul - Nature communications, 2016 - nature.com
Foreseeing population collapse is an on-going target in ecology, and this has led to the
development of early warning signals based on expected changes in leading indicators …
development of early warning signals based on expected changes in leading indicators …
European Neolithic societies showed early warning signals of population collapse
SS Downey, WR Haas Jr… - Proceedings of the …, 2016 - National Acad Sciences
Ecosystems on the verge of major reorganization—regime shift—may exhibit declining
resilience, which can be detected using a collection of generic statistical tests known as …
resilience, which can be detected using a collection of generic statistical tests known as …
Anticipating critical transitions in psychological systems using early warning signals: Theoretical and practical considerations.
Many real-world systems can exhibit tipping points and multiple stable states, creating the
potential for sudden and difficult to reverse transitions into a less desirable regime. The …
potential for sudden and difficult to reverse transitions into a less desirable regime. The …
[HTML][HTML] Profile-wise analysis: a profile likelihood-based workflow for identifiability analysis, estimation, and prediction with mechanistic mathematical models
MJ Simpson, OJ Maclaren - PLoS Computational Biology, 2023 - journals.plos.org
Interpreting data using mechanistic mathematical models provides a foundation for
discovery and decision-making in all areas of science and engineering. Developing …
discovery and decision-making in all areas of science and engineering. Developing …
Factors influencing the detectability of early warning signals of population collapse
CF Clements, JM Drake, JI Griffiths… - The American …, 2015 - journals.uchicago.edu
The recent description of potentially generic early warning signals is a promising
development that may help conservationists to anticipate a population's collapse prior to its …
development that may help conservationists to anticipate a population's collapse prior to its …
Patterns in greater sage‐grouse population dynamics correspond with public grazing records at broad scales
Human land use, such as livestock grazing, can have profound yet varied effects on wildlife
interacting within common ecosystems, yet our understanding of land‐use effects is often …
interacting within common ecosystems, yet our understanding of land‐use effects is often …
Rising variability, not slowing down, as a leading indicator of a stochastically driven abrupt transition in a dryland ecosystem
N Chen, C Jayaprakash, K Yu… - The American …, 2018 - journals.uchicago.edu
Complex systems can undergo abrupt state transitions near critical points. Theory and
controlled experimental studies suggest that the approach to critical points can be …
controlled experimental studies suggest that the approach to critical points can be …