Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights
As they gain new users, climate change mitigation scenarios are playing an increasing role
in transitions to net zero. One promising practice is the analysis of scenario ensembles. Here …
in transitions to net zero. One promising practice is the analysis of scenario ensembles. Here …
[PDF][PDF] Robust decision making (RDM)
RJ Lempert - Decision making under deep uncertainty: From …, 2019 - library.oapen.org
Robust decision making (RDM) Page 35 Chapter 2 Robust Decision Making (RDM) RJ Lempert
Abstract • The quest for predictions—and a reliance on the analytical methods that require …
Abstract • The quest for predictions—and a reliance on the analytical methods that require …
The use of decision making under deep uncertainty in the IPCC
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) exists to provide policy-relevant
assessments of the science related to climate change. As such, the IPCC has long grappled …
assessments of the science related to climate change. As such, the IPCC has long grappled …
Strategic adaptation pathway planning to manage sea-level rise and changing coastal flood risk
Communities around the world are already committed to future sea-level rise. Long-term
adaptation planning to manage associated coastal flood impacts is, however, challenged by …
adaptation planning to manage associated coastal flood impacts is, however, challenged by …
Incorporating multidimensional probabilistic information into robustness‐based water systems planning
The widespread uncertainty regarding future changes in climate, socioeconomic conditions,
and demographics have increased interest in vulnerability‐based frameworks for long‐term …
and demographics have increased interest in vulnerability‐based frameworks for long‐term …
Towards improved participatory scenario methodologies in the Arctic
Participatory scenario methodologies are increasingly used for studying possible future
developments in the Arctic. They have the potential to contribute to several high-priority …
developments in the Arctic. They have the potential to contribute to several high-priority …
[HTML][HTML] 'Plausible'energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures
R Schmidt-Scheele - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
Explorative energy scenarios do not present the most probable developments but provide a
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
[图书][B] The Plausibility of Future Scenarios
R Schmidt-Scheele - 2020 - degruyter.com
During an airport security check, the scenario researcher Selin was asked to remove her
Christmas gift–a snow globe–from her suitcase. In a subsequent article, she reflected:“In an …
Christmas gift–a snow globe–from her suitcase. In a subsequent article, she reflected:“In an …
[HTML][HTML] Futures for Findhorn: Exploring challenges for achieving net zero in an ecological intentional community
C Copeland, G MacKerron, TJ Foxon - Futures, 2023 - Elsevier
This research uses a participatory method to develop exploratory future energy scenarios for
an ecological intentional community in the north of Scotland, Findhorn Ecovillage. These …
an ecological intentional community in the north of Scotland, Findhorn Ecovillage. These …
Are interactive web-tools for environmental scenario visualization worth the effort? An experimental study on the Swiss electricity supply scenarios 2035
G Xexakis, E Trutnevyte - Environmental modelling & software, 2019 - Elsevier
Interactive web-tools are regarded as powerful methods to present large scenario
ensembles from environmental modelling in an understandable and engaging way. Yet …
ensembles from environmental modelling in an understandable and engaging way. Yet …