Novel coronavirus disease is spread worldwide with specific mortality and burdens
worldwide public health. Due to the non-stationarity and complicated nature of the novel …

INTRODUCTION The COVID-19 crisis has exposed major inequalities between
communities. Understanding the societal risk factors that make some groups particularly …

Abstract Novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a contagious disease with high
transmissibility to spread worldwide with considerable morbidity and mortality and presents …

We fit an SARS-CoV-2 model to US data of COVID-19 cases and deaths. We conclude that
the model is not structurally identifiable. We make the model identifiable by prefixing some of …

Modeling infectious disease dynamics has been critical throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.
Of particular interest are the incidence, prevalence, and effective reproductive number (Rt) …

Malaysia has reported 2.75 million cases and 31,485 deaths as of 30 December 2021.
Underestimation remains an issue due to the underdiagnosis of mild and asymptomatic …

Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision
making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data …

Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, growing evidence from the United States, the
United Kingdom, and China has demonstrated the unequal social and economic burden of …

Background: Understanding the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluating the
efficacy of control measures requires knowledge of the number of infections over time. This …

Within the context of the standard SIR model of pandemics, we show that the asymmetry in
the peak in recorded daily cases during a pandemic can be used to infer the pandemic R …