When choices are mistakes

K Nielsen, J Rehbeck - American Economic Review, 2022 - aeaweb.org
Using a laboratory experiment, we identify whether decision-makers consider it a mistake to
violate canonical choice axioms. To do this, we incentivize subjects to report axioms they …

[PDF][PDF] The supply of motivated beliefs

M Thaler - arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.06062, 2021 - aeaweb.org
When people choose what messages to send to others, they often consider how others will
interpret the messages. In many environments, particularly in politics, people are motivated …

Hard-to-interpret signals

LG Epstein, Y Halevy - Journal of the European Economic …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Decisions under uncertainty are often made with information whose interpretation is
uncertain because multiple interpretations are possible. Individuals may perceive and …

Ellsberg meets Keynes at an urn

SH Chew, B Miao, S Zhong - Quantitative Economics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Keynes (1921) and Ellsberg (1961) have articulated an aversion toward betting on an urn
containing balls of two colors of unknown proportion to one with a 50–50 composition …

[图书][B] Difficult decisions

Y Halevy, D Walker-Jones, L Zrill - 2023 - yoram-halevy.faculty.economics …
We investigate the problem of identifying incomplete preferences in the domain of
uncertainty by proposing an incentive-compatible mechanism that bounds the behavior that …

Revealing choice bracketing

A Ellis, DJ Freeman - American Economic Review, 2024 - pubs.aeaweb.org
Experiments suggest that people fail to take into account interdependencies between their
choices—they do not broadly bracket. Researchers often instead assume people narrowly …

Learning from unknown information sources

Y Liang - Management Science, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
When an agent receives information from a source whose accuracy might be either high or
low, standard theory dictates that she update as if the source has medium accuracy. In a …

[HTML][HTML] A test of (weak) certainty independence

C König-Kersting, C Kops, ST Trautmann - Journal of Economic Theory, 2023 - Elsevier
We provide a test of the axioms of certainty and weak certainty independence in models of
decision-making under subjective uncertainty. We show that it is through these two …

Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system

A Baillon, Y Halevy, C Li - Experimental Economics, 2022 - Springer
We demonstrate how the standard usage of the random incentive system in ambiguity
experiments eliciting certainty and probability equivalents might not be incentive compatible …

Ambiguity, randomization and the timing of resolution of uncertainty

B Monet, V Vergopoulos - Economic Theory, 2024 - Springer
The classic framework of Anscombe and Aumann (Ann Math Stat 34: 199–205, 1963) for
decision-making under uncertainty postulates both a primary source of uncertainty (the …