The making of momentum: A demand-system perspective

P Huebner - Proceedings of the EUROFIDAI-ESSEC Paris …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
I develop a framework to quantify which features of investors' dynamic trading strategies
lead to momentum in equilibrium. I distinguish persistent demand shocks, capturing …

What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts

S Chen, TC Green, H Gulen, D Zhou - arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.11540, 2024 - arxiv.org
We examine how large language models (LLMs) interpret historical stock returns and
compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks …

Extrapolation beyond peers: An asset pricing perspective

G Tang, Y Wu, G Lou - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
We introduce a novel measure that captures the beta deviation of individual firms from their
industry peers within China's stock market. Our analysis reveals that stocks with greater beta …

[HTML][HTML] Analysts' extrapolative expectations in the cross-section

A Oesinghaus - Journal of Economics and Business, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper examines extrapolative patterns of analysts' expectations in the cross-section of
firms. Using analysts' target prices, I estimate the degree of extrapolative weighting capturing …

Salience and Short-term Momentum and Reversals

Y Chen, H Wang, J Yu - Available at SSRN 4649393, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We measure firm-level deviation salience (DS) as the return divergence between individual
stocks and their peers. We find that the predictive ability of the past month's stock …

Motivated Extrapolative Beliefs

S Yang - Available at SSRN 4753510, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
This study investigates the relationship between investors' prior gains or losses and their
adoption of extrapolative beliefs. Our findings indicate that investors facing prior losses tend …

[PDF][PDF] The Making of Momentum

P Huebner - 2022 - aeaweb.org
I develop a framework to quantify which features of investors' trading strategies lead to
momentum in equilibrium. Specifically, I distinguish two channels: persistent demand …

Impact of price path on disposition bias

A Bansal, J Jacob - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
Recent experimental studies illustrate the influence of price path, particularly the 'non-
straight'price path, on several aspects of investor decision-making. The paper employs an …

Obtaining quantitative information from time series patterns: Insights from SAX, MDL and the Matrix Profile

E Cartwright - 2024 - doras.dcu.ie
In the contemporary trading environment any competitive advantage is of core interest to
technical traders and financial analysts. Motifs (ie time series patterns corresponding to …

[PDF][PDF] Beyond returns: The impact of price path convexity on mutual fund flows

Y Ling, X Ma, J Yao - efmaefm.org
This paper proposes that a performance signal derived from a mutual fund's price path
significantly affects investors' capital allocation decisions. Using convexity to measure the …