The making of momentum: A demand-system perspective
P Huebner - Proceedings of the EUROFIDAI-ESSEC Paris …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
I develop a framework to quantify which features of investors' dynamic trading strategies
lead to momentum in equilibrium. I distinguish persistent demand shocks, capturing …
lead to momentum in equilibrium. I distinguish persistent demand shocks, capturing …
What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts
We examine how large language models (LLMs) interpret historical stock returns and
compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks …
compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks …
Extrapolation beyond peers: An asset pricing perspective
G Tang, Y Wu, G Lou - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
We introduce a novel measure that captures the beta deviation of individual firms from their
industry peers within China's stock market. Our analysis reveals that stocks with greater beta …
industry peers within China's stock market. Our analysis reveals that stocks with greater beta …
[HTML][HTML] Analysts' extrapolative expectations in the cross-section
A Oesinghaus - Journal of Economics and Business, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper examines extrapolative patterns of analysts' expectations in the cross-section of
firms. Using analysts' target prices, I estimate the degree of extrapolative weighting capturing …
firms. Using analysts' target prices, I estimate the degree of extrapolative weighting capturing …
Salience and Short-term Momentum and Reversals
We measure firm-level deviation salience (DS) as the return divergence between individual
stocks and their peers. We find that the predictive ability of the past month's stock …
stocks and their peers. We find that the predictive ability of the past month's stock …
Motivated Extrapolative Beliefs
S Yang - Available at SSRN 4753510, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
This study investigates the relationship between investors' prior gains or losses and their
adoption of extrapolative beliefs. Our findings indicate that investors facing prior losses tend …
adoption of extrapolative beliefs. Our findings indicate that investors facing prior losses tend …
[PDF][PDF] The Making of Momentum
P Huebner - 2022 - aeaweb.org
I develop a framework to quantify which features of investors' trading strategies lead to
momentum in equilibrium. Specifically, I distinguish two channels: persistent demand …
momentum in equilibrium. Specifically, I distinguish two channels: persistent demand …
Impact of price path on disposition bias
Recent experimental studies illustrate the influence of price path, particularly the 'non-
straight'price path, on several aspects of investor decision-making. The paper employs an …
straight'price path, on several aspects of investor decision-making. The paper employs an …
Obtaining quantitative information from time series patterns: Insights from SAX, MDL and the Matrix Profile
E Cartwright - 2024 - doras.dcu.ie
In the contemporary trading environment any competitive advantage is of core interest to
technical traders and financial analysts. Motifs (ie time series patterns corresponding to …
technical traders and financial analysts. Motifs (ie time series patterns corresponding to …
[PDF][PDF] Beyond returns: The impact of price path convexity on mutual fund flows
Y Ling, X Ma, J Yao - efmaefm.org
This paper proposes that a performance signal derived from a mutual fund's price path
significantly affects investors' capital allocation decisions. Using convexity to measure the …
significantly affects investors' capital allocation decisions. Using convexity to measure the …