Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects

D Hoang, K Wiegratz - European Financial Management, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We study how researchers can apply machine learning (ML) methods in finance. We first
establish that the two major categories of ML (supervised and unsupervised learning) …

Forecasting and trading credit default swap indices using a deep learning model integrating Merton and LSTMs

W Mao, H Zhu, H Wu, Y Lu, H Wang - Expert Systems with Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
Using macroeconomic and financial conditions to forecast credit default swap (CDS)
spreads is a challenging task. In this paper, we propose the Merton-LSTM model, a modified …

[HTML][HTML] Long-term forecasting of time series based on linear fuzzy information granules and fuzzy inference system

X Yang, F Yu, W Pedrycz - International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2017 - Elsevier
Long-term time series forecasting is a challenging problem both in theory and in practice.
Although the idea of information granulation has been shown to be an essential concept and …

Practical Bayesian support vector regression for financial time series prediction and market condition change detection

T Law, J Shawe-Taylor - Quantitative Finance, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
Support vector regression (SVR) has long been proven to be a successful tool to predict
financial time series. The core idea of this study is to outline an automated framework for …

Impacts of the financial crisis on eurozone sovereign CDS spreads

Y Gündüz, O Kaya - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014 - Elsevier
We study the variation of sovereign credit default swaps (CDSs) of eurozone countries, their
persistence and co-movements, with particular attention given to the impact of the financial …

Nonparametric machine learning models for predicting the credit default swaps: An empirical study

Y Son, H Byun, J Lee - Expert Systems with Applications, 2016 - Elsevier
Credit default swap which reflects the credit risk of a firm is one of the most frequently traded
credit derivatives. In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive study to verify the predictive …

Predicting market impact costs using nonparametric machine learning models

S Park, J Lee, Y Son - PLoS One, 2016 - journals.plos.org
Market impact cost is the most significant portion of implicit transaction costs that can reduce
the overall transaction cost, although it cannot be measured directly. In this paper, we …

Sovereign default swap market efficiency and country risk in the Eurozone

Y Gündüz, O Kaya - 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the
informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks …

Does modeling framework matter? A comparative study of structural and reduced-form models

Y Gündüz, M Uhrig-Homburg - Review of Derivatives Research, 2014 - Springer
This study provides a rigorous empirical comparison of structural and reduced-form credit
risk frameworks. The literature differentiates between structural models that are based on …

Strategic Predictions and Explanations By Machine Learning: The Prediction Model of Credit Default Swaps for the Telecommunication Service Sector

C Wu, J Li, J Xu, P Bouvry - 2024 International Conference on …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Many machine learning (ML) models can make predictions regarding credit default swaps
(CDS) for the telecommunication (telco) service sector. However, some ML algorithms can …