A survey of contextual optimization methods for decision-making under uncertainty

U Sadana, A Chenreddy, E Delage, A Forel… - European Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Recently there has been a surge of interest in operations research (OR) and the machine
learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to …

Debiasing in-sample policy performance for small-data, large-scale optimization

V Gupta, M Huang… - Operations …, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
Motivated by the poor performance of cross-validation in settings where data are scarce, we
propose a novel estimator of the out-of-sample performance of a policy in data-driven …

Empirical gateaux derivatives for causal inference

M Jordan, Y Wang, A Zhou - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We study a constructive procedure that approximates Gateaux derivatives for statistical
functionals by finite-differencing, with attention to causal inference functionals. We focus on …

Applications of model simulation in pharmacological fields and the problems of theoretical reliability

Y Kariya, M Honma - Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, 2024 - Elsevier
The use of mathematical models has become increasingly prevalent in pharmacological
fields, particularly in drug development processes. These models are instrumental in tasks …

Prediction-aware adaptive task assignment for spatial crowdsourcing

Q Wu, Y Li, G Zhu, B Mei, J Xu… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
With the rapid development of wireless networks and smart devices, spatial crowdsourcing
(SC) has become increasingly prevalent. The key issue in SC is efficiently assigning spatial …

Data-driven profit estimation error in the newsvendor model

AF Siegel, MR Wagner - Operations Research, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
In this note, we identify a statistically significant error in naively estimating the expected profit
in a data-driven newsvendor model, and we show how to correct the error. In particular, we …

Uses of Sub-sample Estimates to Reduce Errors in Stochastic Optimization Models

JR Birge - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.07052, 2023 - arxiv.org
Optimization software enables the solution of problems with millions of variables and
associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented …

Learning Best-in-Class Policies for the Predict-then-Optimize Framework

M Huang, V Gupta - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.03256, 2024 - arxiv.org
We propose a novel family of decision-aware surrogate losses, called Perturbation Gradient
(PG) losses, for the predict-then-optimize framework. These losses directly approximate the …

Off-policy evaluation with policy-dependent optimization response

W Guo, M Jordan, A Zhou - Advances in Neural Information …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
The intersection of causal inference and machine learning for decision-making is rapidly
expanding, but the default decision criterion remains an average of individual causal …

Optimizer's Information Criterion: Dissecting and Correcting Bias in Data-Driven Optimization

G Iyengar, H Lam, T Wang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.10081, 2023 - arxiv.org
In data-driven optimization, the sample performance of the obtained decision typically incurs
an optimistic bias against the true performance, a phenomenon commonly known as the …