A survey of contextual optimization methods for decision-making under uncertainty
Recently there has been a surge of interest in operations research (OR) and the machine
learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to …
learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to …
Debiasing in-sample policy performance for small-data, large-scale optimization
Motivated by the poor performance of cross-validation in settings where data are scarce, we
propose a novel estimator of the out-of-sample performance of a policy in data-driven …
propose a novel estimator of the out-of-sample performance of a policy in data-driven …
Empirical gateaux derivatives for causal inference
We study a constructive procedure that approximates Gateaux derivatives for statistical
functionals by finite-differencing, with attention to causal inference functionals. We focus on …
functionals by finite-differencing, with attention to causal inference functionals. We focus on …
Applications of model simulation in pharmacological fields and the problems of theoretical reliability
Y Kariya, M Honma - Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, 2024 - Elsevier
The use of mathematical models has become increasingly prevalent in pharmacological
fields, particularly in drug development processes. These models are instrumental in tasks …
fields, particularly in drug development processes. These models are instrumental in tasks …
Prediction-aware adaptive task assignment for spatial crowdsourcing
With the rapid development of wireless networks and smart devices, spatial crowdsourcing
(SC) has become increasingly prevalent. The key issue in SC is efficiently assigning spatial …
(SC) has become increasingly prevalent. The key issue in SC is efficiently assigning spatial …
Data-driven profit estimation error in the newsvendor model
AF Siegel, MR Wagner - Operations Research, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
In this note, we identify a statistically significant error in naively estimating the expected profit
in a data-driven newsvendor model, and we show how to correct the error. In particular, we …
in a data-driven newsvendor model, and we show how to correct the error. In particular, we …
Uses of Sub-sample Estimates to Reduce Errors in Stochastic Optimization Models
JR Birge - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.07052, 2023 - arxiv.org
Optimization software enables the solution of problems with millions of variables and
associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented …
associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented …
Learning Best-in-Class Policies for the Predict-then-Optimize Framework
We propose a novel family of decision-aware surrogate losses, called Perturbation Gradient
(PG) losses, for the predict-then-optimize framework. These losses directly approximate the …
(PG) losses, for the predict-then-optimize framework. These losses directly approximate the …
Off-policy evaluation with policy-dependent optimization response
The intersection of causal inference and machine learning for decision-making is rapidly
expanding, but the default decision criterion remains an average of individual causal …
expanding, but the default decision criterion remains an average of individual causal …
Optimizer's Information Criterion: Dissecting and Correcting Bias in Data-Driven Optimization
In data-driven optimization, the sample performance of the obtained decision typically incurs
an optimistic bias against the true performance, a phenomenon commonly known as the …
an optimistic bias against the true performance, a phenomenon commonly known as the …