Subseasonal to seasonal prediction of weather to climate with application to tropical cyclones
AW Robertson, F Vitart… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Demands are growing rapidly in the operational prediction and applications communities for
forecasts that fill the gap between daily weather forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks …
forecasts that fill the gap between daily weather forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks …
[HTML][HTML] Recent advances in seasonal and multi-annual tropical cyclone forecasting
Seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting has evolved substantially since its
commencement in the early 1980s. However, present operational seasonal TC forecasting …
commencement in the early 1980s. However, present operational seasonal TC forecasting …
Novel evaluation of sub‐seasonal precipitation ensemble forecasts for identifying high‐impact weather events associated with the Indian monsoon
We assess the skill of the fully coupled lagged ensemble forecasts from GloSea5‐GC2, for
the sub‐seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale up to 4 weeks, with the aim of understanding …
the sub‐seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale up to 4 weeks, with the aim of understanding …
Flow‐dependence of ensemble spread of subseasonal forecasts explored via North Atlantic‐European weather regimes
Atmospheric prediction at 2–6 weeks lead time (so‐called subseasonal‐to‐seasonal
timescales) entails large forecast uncertainty. Here we investigate the flow‐dependence of …
timescales) entails large forecast uncertainty. Here we investigate the flow‐dependence of …
Exploring the landscape of seasonal forecast provision by Global Producing Centres
D Bojovic, A Nicodemou, AL St. Clair, I Christel… - Climatic Change, 2022 - Springer
Despite the growing demand for seasonal climate forecasts, there is limited understanding
of the landscape of organisations providing this critically important climate information. This …
of the landscape of organisations providing this critically important climate information. This …
The value of weather and climate information to the Tanzanian disaster risk reduction sector using nonmonetary approaches
This paper investigates the value of weather and climate information at different time scales
for decision-making in the Tanzanian disaster risk reduction sector using nonmonetary …
for decision-making in the Tanzanian disaster risk reduction sector using nonmonetary …
[HTML][HTML] Development of forecast information for institutional decision-makers: landslides in India and cyclones in Mozambique
There remains a gap between the production of scientifically robust forecasts and the
translation of these forecasts into useful information such as daily “bulletins” for decision …
translation of these forecasts into useful information such as daily “bulletins” for decision …