Deadly debt crises: COVID-19 in emerging markets

C Arellano, Y Bai, G Mihalache - Review of Economic Studies, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Emerging markets have experienced large human and economic costs from coronavirus
disease 2019, and their tight fiscal space has limited the support extended to their citizens …

Sovereign debt

ML Martinez, MF Roch, F Roldán, MJ Zettelmeyer - 2022 - books.google.com
This paper surveys the literature on sovereign debt from the perspective of understanding
how sovereign debt differs from privately issue debt, and why sovereign debt is deemed safe …

A quantitative theory of the credit score

S Chatterjee, D Corbae, K Dempsey… - Econometrica, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
What is the role of credit scores in credit markets? We argue that it is, in part, the market's
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …

Partial default

C Arellano, X Mateos-Planas… - Journal of Political …, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
We document that countries partially default often and with varying intensity, resulting in
lengthy episodes and hump-shaped patterns for partial default and debt. Default episodes …

Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension

G Mihalache - Journal of International Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
Sovereign default episodes are resolved by restructuring the debt through renegotiations
and implemented by bond swaps and resumption of debt service payments. This process …

[图书][B] Original sin redux: a model-based evaluation

B Hofmann, N Patel, SPY Wu - 2022 - aeaweb.org
Using a two-country model, this paper shows that the shift from foreign currency to local
currency external borrowing does not eliminate the vulnerability of EMs to foreign financial …

Monetary policy and sovereign risk in emerging economies (nk-default)

C Arellano, Y Bai, GP Mihalache - 2020 - nber.org
This paper develops a New Keynesian model with sovereign default risk (NK-Default). We
focus on the interaction between monetary policy, conducted according to an interest rate …

Natural disasters, climate change, and sovereign risk

E Mallucci - Journal of International Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
I investigate how natural disasters can exacerbate fiscal vulnerabilities and trigger sovereign
defaults. I extend a standard sovereign default model to include disaster risk and calibrate it …

Evergreening

M Faria-e-Castro, P Paul, JM Sánchez - Journal of Financial Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
We develop a simple model of concentrated lending where lenders have incentives for
evergreening loans by offering better terms to firms that are close to default. We detect such …

Exorbitant Privilege and the Sustainability of US Public Debt

J Choi, D Dang, R Kirpalani… - AEA Papers and …, 2024 - pubs.aeaweb.org
We study the extent to which the perceived cost of losing the exorbitant privilege the United
States holds in global safe asset markets sustains its public debt safety. Our findings indicate …