Distributionally robust policy learning with wasserstein distance

D Kido - arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.04637, 2022 - arxiv.org
The effects of treatments are often heterogeneous, depending on the observable
characteristics, and it is necessary to exploit such heterogeneity to devise individualized …

Robust Bayes Treatment Choice with Partial Identification

AA Fernández, JLM Olea, C Qiu, J Stoye… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
We study a class of binary treatment choice problems with partial identification, through the
lens of robust (multiple prior) Bayesian analysis. We use a convenient set of prior …

Dynamic Targeting: Experimental Evidence from Energy Rebate Programs

T Ida, T Ishihara, K Ito, D Kido, T Kitagawa… - 2024 - nber.org
Economic policies often involve dynamic interventions, where individuals receive repeated
interventions over multiple periods. This dynamics makes past responses informative to …

Individualized Treatment Allocations with Distributional Welfare

Y Cui, S Han - arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.15878, 2023 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we explore optimal treatment allocation policies that target distributional
welfare. Most literature on treatment choice has considered utilitarian welfare based on the …

Improved bounds and inference on optimal regimes

JD Laurendeau, AL Sarvet, MJ Stensrud - arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.11510, 2024 - arxiv.org
Point identification of causal effects requires strong assumptions that are unreasonable in
many practical settings. However, informative bounds on these effects can often be derived …

Optimal multi‐action treatment allocation: A two‐phase field experiment to boost immigrant naturalization

A Ahrens, A Stampi‐Bombelli, S Kurer… - Journal of Applied …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Research underscores the role of naturalization in enhancing immigrants' socio‐economic
integration, yet application rates remain low. We estimate a policy rule for a letter‐based …

Decision Theory for Treatment Choice Problems with Partial Identification

JLM Olea, C Qiu, J Stoye - arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.17623, 2023 - arxiv.org
We apply classical statistical decision theory to a large class of treatment choice problems
with partial identification, revealing important theoretical and practical challenges but also …

[PDF][PDF] Pollution Taxes as a Second-Best: Accounting for Multidimensional Firm Heterogeneity in Environmental Regulations

R Song, F Xia, B Zhang - 2022 - aeaweb.org
This paper documents the first-order welfare effects of firm heterogeneity under a
homogeneous emission tax regime. Local and firm-level variations in market power …

[PDF][PDF] Who Benefits from College Grant Aid and Why? Evidence from Texas

M Galperin - 2024 - michaelgalperin.github.io
I use rich administrative data and several quasi-experiments in Texas to study which
students benefit most from college grant aid and why. For “extensive-margin” students, grant …

[PDF][PDF] From Value Added to Welfare Added: A Social Planner Approach to Education Policy and Statistics

T Eastmond, N Mather, MD Ricks, J Betts - 2022 - aeaweb.org
Though ubiquitous in research and practice, mean-based “value-added” measures may not
fully inform policy or welfare considerations when policies have heterogeneous effects …