[HTML][HTML] ENSO predictability over the past 137 years based on a CESM ensemble prediction system
In this study, we conducted an ensemble retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 using
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
A strong 2023/24 El Niño is staged by tropical Pacific Ocean heat content buildup
T Lian, J Wang, D Chen, T Liu… - Ocean-Land-Atmosphere …, 2023 - spj.science.org
The upper ocean heat content in the equatorial Pacific usually serves as a primary precursor
for an upcoming El Niño, while strong atmospheric perturbations such as westerly wind burst …
for an upcoming El Niño, while strong atmospheric perturbations such as westerly wind burst …
A multi-model prediction system for ENSO
T Liu, Y Gao, X Song, C Gao, L Tao, Y Tang… - Science China Earth …, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary source of predictability
for seasonal climate prediction. To improve the ENSO prediction skill, we established a multi …
for seasonal climate prediction. To improve the ENSO prediction skill, we established a multi …
Predictability of Indian Ocean Dipole Over 138 Years Using a CESM Ensemble‐Prediction System
In this study, we performed a long‐term ensemble hindcast from 1880 to 2017 (138 years)
using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and conducted a comprehensive …
using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and conducted a comprehensive …
[HTML][HTML] Decadal variation of the rainfall predictability over the maritime continent in the wet season
Maritime Continent (MC) rainfall plays an important role in global climate variability, but its
prediction remains extremely challenging. Based on a long-term state-of-the-art hindcast …
prediction remains extremely challenging. Based on a long-term state-of-the-art hindcast …
Suppressive MJO in April 2014 downgraded the 2014/15 El Niño
The sudden halting of the extreme 2014/15 El Niño expected by many was attributed to the
absence of westerly wind bursts (WWBs) in late spring and early summer 2014 in previous …
absence of westerly wind bursts (WWBs) in late spring and early summer 2014 in previous …
On oceanic initial state errors in the ensemble data assimilation for a coupled general circulation model
In the construction of an ensemble‐based data assimilation system for a complex fully
coupled general circulation model (CGCM), the model state errors at initial time of …
coupled general circulation model (CGCM), the model state errors at initial time of …
Indian Ocean Basin Warming in 2020 Forced by Thermocline Anomalies of the 2019 Indian Ocean Dipole
J Wang, S Zhang, H Jiang, D Yuan - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The Indian Ocean basin (IOB) mode is the dominant mode of the interannual sea
surface temperature (SST) variability in the Indian Ocean, with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) …
surface temperature (SST) variability in the Indian Ocean, with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) …
Ocean data assimilation for the initialization of seasonal prediction with the Community Earth System Model
Seasonal prediction highly depends on its initialization scheme. Currently, the operational
utilization of advanced data assimilation methods in the oceanic initialization is still relatively …
utilization of advanced data assimilation methods in the oceanic initialization is still relatively …
[HTML][HTML] The predictability study of the two flavors of ENSO in the CESM model from 1881 to 2017
In this study, we evaluated the predictability of the two flavors of the El Niño Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) based on a long-term retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 with the …
Oscillation (ENSO) based on a long-term retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 with the …