Neural network–based financial volatility forecasting: A systematic review

W Ge, P Lalbakhsh, L Isai, A Lenskiy… - ACM Computing Surveys …, 2022 - dl.acm.org
Volatility forecasting is an important aspect of finance as it dictates many decisions of market
players. A snapshot of state-of-the-art neural network–based financial volatility forecasting …

Forecasting with option-implied information

P Christoffersen, K Jacobs, BY Chang - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
This chapter surveys the methods available for extracting information from option prices that
can be used in forecasting. We consider option-implied volatilities, skewness, kurtosis, and …

Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market

M Liu, WC Choo, CC Lee, CC Lee - Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The existing contradictory findings on the contribution of trading volume to volatility
forecasting prompt us to seek new solutions to test the sequential information arrival …

The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility

G Bekaert, M Hoerova - Journal of econometrics, 2014 - Elsevier
We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the
conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a …

[HTML][HTML] News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility

N Sapkota - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022 - Elsevier
In this work, I studied whether news media sentiments have an impact on Bitcoin volatility. In
doing so, I applied three different range-based volatility estimates along with two different …

Forecasting crude oil market volatility using variable selection and common factor

Y Zhang, MIM Wahab, Y Wang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper aims to improve the predictability of aggregate oil market volatility with a
substantially large macroeconomic database, including 127 macro variables. To this end …

Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes

S Degiannakis, G Filis - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
Motivated from Ross (1989) who maintains that asset volatilities are synonymous to the
information flow, we claim that cross-market volatility transmission effects are synonymous to …

A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting

K Christensen, M Siggaard… - Journal of Financial …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
We inspect how accurate machine learning (ML) is at forecasting realized variance of the
Dow Jones Industrial Average index constituents. We compare several ML algorithms …

Good volatility, bad volatility: Signed jumps and the persistence of volatility

AJ Patton, K Sheppard - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2015 - direct.mit.edu
Using estimators of the variation of positive and negative returns (realized semivariances)
and high-frequency data for the S&P 500 Index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds …

Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting

F Corsi, D Pirino, R Reno - Journal of Econometrics, 2010 - Elsevier
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have
a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent …