Neural network–based financial volatility forecasting: A systematic review
Volatility forecasting is an important aspect of finance as it dictates many decisions of market
players. A snapshot of state-of-the-art neural network–based financial volatility forecasting …
players. A snapshot of state-of-the-art neural network–based financial volatility forecasting …
Forecasting with option-implied information
This chapter surveys the methods available for extracting information from option prices that
can be used in forecasting. We consider option-implied volatilities, skewness, kurtosis, and …
can be used in forecasting. We consider option-implied volatilities, skewness, kurtosis, and …
Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market
The existing contradictory findings on the contribution of trading volume to volatility
forecasting prompt us to seek new solutions to test the sequential information arrival …
forecasting prompt us to seek new solutions to test the sequential information arrival …
The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility
We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the
conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a …
conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a …
[HTML][HTML] News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility
N Sapkota - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022 - Elsevier
In this work, I studied whether news media sentiments have an impact on Bitcoin volatility. In
doing so, I applied three different range-based volatility estimates along with two different …
doing so, I applied three different range-based volatility estimates along with two different …
Forecasting crude oil market volatility using variable selection and common factor
This paper aims to improve the predictability of aggregate oil market volatility with a
substantially large macroeconomic database, including 127 macro variables. To this end …
substantially large macroeconomic database, including 127 macro variables. To this end …
Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes
S Degiannakis, G Filis - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
Motivated from Ross (1989) who maintains that asset volatilities are synonymous to the
information flow, we claim that cross-market volatility transmission effects are synonymous to …
information flow, we claim that cross-market volatility transmission effects are synonymous to …
A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting
K Christensen, M Siggaard… - Journal of Financial …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
We inspect how accurate machine learning (ML) is at forecasting realized variance of the
Dow Jones Industrial Average index constituents. We compare several ML algorithms …
Dow Jones Industrial Average index constituents. We compare several ML algorithms …
Good volatility, bad volatility: Signed jumps and the persistence of volatility
AJ Patton, K Sheppard - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2015 - direct.mit.edu
Using estimators of the variation of positive and negative returns (realized semivariances)
and high-frequency data for the S&P 500 Index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds …
and high-frequency data for the S&P 500 Index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds …
Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have
a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent …
a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent …