Asset price bubbles

RA Jarrow - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2015 - annualreviews.org
This article reviews the theoretical literature on asset price bubbles, with an emphasis on the
martingale theory of bubbles. The key questions studied are as follows: First, under what …

A mathematical theory of financial bubbles

FE Benth, D Crisan, P Guasoni, K Manolarakis… - Paris-Princeton Lectures …, 2013 - Springer
Over the last 10 years or so a mathematical theory of bubbles has emerged, in the spirit of a
martingale theory based on an absence of arbitrage, as opposed to an equilibrium theory …

Probabilistic aspects of finance

H Föllmer, A Schied - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
In the past decades, advanced probabilistic methods have had significant impact on the field
of finance, both in academia and in the financial industry. Conversely, financial questions …

Inefficient bubbles and efficient drawdowns in financial markets

M Schatz, D Sornette - … Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2020 - World Scientific
At odds with the common “rational expectations” framework for bubbles, economists like
Hyman Minsky, Charles Kindleberger and Robert Shiller have documented that irrational …

The lifetime of a financial bubble

Y Obayashi, P Protter, S Yang - Mathematics and Financial Economics, 2017 - Springer
We combine both a mathematical analysis of financial bubbles and a statistical procedure
for determining when a given stock is in a bubble, with an analysis of a large data set, in …

Detecting asset price bubbles using deep learning

F Biagini, L Gonon, A Mazzon… - Mathematical …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we employ deep learning techniques to detect financial asset bubbles by using
observed call option prices. The proposed algorithm is widely applicable and model …

Strong bubbles and strict local martingales

M Herdegen, M Schweizer - International Journal of Theoretical and …, 2016 - World Scientific
In a numéraire-independent framework, we study a financial market with N assets which are
all treated in a symmetric way. We define the fundamental value∗ S of an asset S as its …

[HTML][HTML] Strict local martingales with jumps

P Protter - Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2015 - Elsevier
A strict local martingale is a local martingale which is not a martingale. There are few explicit
examples of “naturally occurring” strict local martingales with jumps available in the …

A bubble identification mechanism: Evidence from the Chinese stock market

C He, Y Gao, F Xiao, L Tang… - Pacific Economic Review, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This paper provides a bubble date‐stamping mechanism using the agent‐based
computational finance method. The key steps of the bubble date‐stamping mechanism are …

A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing

J Muhle-Karbe, M Nutz - Finance and Stochastics, 2018 - Springer
We study the formation of derivative prices in an equilibrium between risk-neutral agents
with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that …