Cryptocurrencies (the most paradigmatic blockchain-based systems) are distributed systems
that allow to exchange tokens among participants. These cryptocurrencies can also be …

Prediction markets are heralded as powerful forecasting tools, but models that describe
them often fail to capture the full complexity of the underlying mechanisms that drive price …

Collective intelligence refers to the ability of groups to problem-solving, and decision-
making. Such ability is not often exhibited when group members act individually. In addition …

It is critical in risk and portfolio management to identify groups or classes of financial returns.
Portfolio diversification is one of the first decisions made during the portfolio construction …

Abstract Prediction Markets (PMs) are markets in which agents trade event contingent
assets. Enterprises use PMs to forecast revenues and project deadlines. This paper …

Prediction markets represent a great tool to harness the wisdom of the crowd and, for this
reason, they are used to provide accurate forecasts on great variety of events. However …

Представлены результаты анализа проблем и перспектив использования теории
фрактального рынка в целях математического прогнозирования ценовой динамики …

Prediction markets have proven to be an exceptional tool for harnessing the “wisdom of the
crowd”, consequently making accurate forecasts about future events. Motivated by the lack …

The article presents the analysis findings of the problems and prospects of using the fractal
markets theory to mathematically predict the price dynamics of assets as part of a financial …

At the foundation of a successful prediction market are the anonymity and diversity of
participants. But within a corporation, information sharing and herding behavior can bias PM …