[HTML][HTML] Statistical postprocessing for weather forecasts: Review, challenges, and avenues in a big data world

S Vannitsem, JB Bremnes, J Demaeyer… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting
suites in many national meteorological services (NMS), with, for most of them, the objective …

Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools

D Yang, D van der Meer - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Forecasts are always wrong, otherwise, they are merely deterministic calculations. Besides
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …

Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting

B Uniejewski, R Weron - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) has sparked interest in the electricity price
forecasting community after its unprecedented success in the Global Energy Forecasting …

Promoting the use of probabilistic weather forecasts through a dialogue between scientists, developers and end‐users

VJ Fundel, N Fleischhut, SM Herzog… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Today's ensemble weather prediction systems provide reliable and sharp probabilistic
forecasts—yet they are still rarely communicated to outside users because of two main …

[HTML][HTML] Improving medium-range ensemble weather forecasts with hierarchical ensemble transformers

ZB Bouallègue, JA Weyn, MCA Clare… - … Intelligence for the …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing of global ensemble weather forecasts is revisited by leveraging
recent developments in machine learning. Verification of past forecasts is exploited to learn …

Statistical modeling of 2-m temperature and 10-m wind speed forecast errors

ZB Bouallègue, F Cooper, M Chantry… - Monthly Weather …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Based on the principle “learn from past errors to correct current forecasts,” statistical
postprocessing consists of optimizing forecasts generated by numerical weather prediction …

Univariate ensemble postprocessing

DS Wilks - Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, 2018 - Elsevier
Weather forecast ensembles, consisting of multiple integrations of dynamical forecast
models, are intended to represent effects of initial-condition sensitivity and model structural …

D‐vine‐copula‐based postprocessing of wind speed ensemble forecasts

D Jobst, A Möller, J Groß - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Current practice in predicting future weather is the use of numerical weather prediction
(NWP) models to produce ensemble forecasts. Despite of enormous improvements over the …

[HTML][HTML] Constrained quantile regression splines for ensemble postprocessing

JB Bremnes - Monthly Weather Review, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts is widely applied to make reliable
probabilistic weather forecasts. Motivated by the fact that nature imposes few restrictions on …

Application of postprocessing for renewable energy

P Pinson, JW Messner - Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, 2018 - Elsevier
Renewable energy generation capacities are being deployed at a rapid pace, now reaching
a total of more than 800 GW worldwide, if adding up generation capacities for wind and solar …