[HTML][HTML] Statistical postprocessing for weather forecasts: Review, challenges, and avenues in a big data world
Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting
suites in many national meteorological services (NMS), with, for most of them, the objective …
suites in many national meteorological services (NMS), with, for most of them, the objective …
Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools
D Yang, D van der Meer - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Forecasts are always wrong, otherwise, they are merely deterministic calculations. Besides
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …
Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting
B Uniejewski, R Weron - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) has sparked interest in the electricity price
forecasting community after its unprecedented success in the Global Energy Forecasting …
forecasting community after its unprecedented success in the Global Energy Forecasting …
Promoting the use of probabilistic weather forecasts through a dialogue between scientists, developers and end‐users
VJ Fundel, N Fleischhut, SM Herzog… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Today's ensemble weather prediction systems provide reliable and sharp probabilistic
forecasts—yet they are still rarely communicated to outside users because of two main …
forecasts—yet they are still rarely communicated to outside users because of two main …
[HTML][HTML] Improving medium-range ensemble weather forecasts with hierarchical ensemble transformers
ZB Bouallègue, JA Weyn, MCA Clare… - … Intelligence for the …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing of global ensemble weather forecasts is revisited by leveraging
recent developments in machine learning. Verification of past forecasts is exploited to learn …
recent developments in machine learning. Verification of past forecasts is exploited to learn …
Statistical modeling of 2-m temperature and 10-m wind speed forecast errors
ZB Bouallègue, F Cooper, M Chantry… - Monthly Weather …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Based on the principle “learn from past errors to correct current forecasts,” statistical
postprocessing consists of optimizing forecasts generated by numerical weather prediction …
postprocessing consists of optimizing forecasts generated by numerical weather prediction …
Univariate ensemble postprocessing
DS Wilks - Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, 2018 - Elsevier
Weather forecast ensembles, consisting of multiple integrations of dynamical forecast
models, are intended to represent effects of initial-condition sensitivity and model structural …
models, are intended to represent effects of initial-condition sensitivity and model structural …
D‐vine‐copula‐based postprocessing of wind speed ensemble forecasts
Current practice in predicting future weather is the use of numerical weather prediction
(NWP) models to produce ensemble forecasts. Despite of enormous improvements over the …
(NWP) models to produce ensemble forecasts. Despite of enormous improvements over the …
[HTML][HTML] Constrained quantile regression splines for ensemble postprocessing
JB Bremnes - Monthly Weather Review, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts is widely applied to make reliable
probabilistic weather forecasts. Motivated by the fact that nature imposes few restrictions on …
probabilistic weather forecasts. Motivated by the fact that nature imposes few restrictions on …
Application of postprocessing for renewable energy
P Pinson, JW Messner - Statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, 2018 - Elsevier
Renewable energy generation capacities are being deployed at a rapid pace, now reaching
a total of more than 800 GW worldwide, if adding up generation capacities for wind and solar …
a total of more than 800 GW worldwide, if adding up generation capacities for wind and solar …