Theory and practice of GVAR modelling

A Chudik, MH Pesaran - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …

Short-and long-run asymmetric effect of oil prices and oil and gas revenues on the real GDP and economic diversification in oil-dependent economy

L Charfeddine, K Barkat - Energy Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
The aim of this paper is to explore the short-and long-run asymmetric impact of oil prices
shocks and oil and gas revenues changes on the total real GDP, and the level of economic …

Modeling and forecasting regional tourism demand using the Bayesian global vector autoregressive (BGVAR) model

AG Assaf, G Li, H Song… - Journal of Travel …, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
Increasing levels of global and regional integration have led to tourist flows between
countries becoming closely linked. These links should be considered when modeling and …

A global macro model for emerging Europe

M Feldkircher - Journal of Comparative Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper puts forward a global macro model comprising 43 countries and covering the
period from Q1 1995 to Q4 2011. Our regional focus is on countries in Central, Eastern and …

Global oil price and food prices in food importing and oil exporting developing countries: A panel ARDL analysis

DO Olayungbo - Heliyon, 2021 - cell.com
In this study, we attempt to look into the cointegration and causal link of oil and food prices in
the sample countries that are both food importing and oil exporting economies. Yearly data …

Modelling the interdependence of tourism demand: The global vector autoregressive approach

Z Cao, G Li, H Song - Annals of Tourism Research, 2017 - Elsevier
This study develops a global vector autoregressive (global VAR or GVAR) model to quantify
the cross-country co-movements of tourism demand and simulate the impulse responses of …

Nexus of energy and food nutrition prices in oil importing and exporting countries: A panel VAR model

Z Shokoohi, S Saghaian - Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
This study explores the relationship between energy and food nutrition prices through food
calorie, fat, protein, and crude oil price links in the case of eight net oil importing (US, Korea …

International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress

J Dovern, B van Roye - Journal of Financial Stability, 2014 - Elsevier
We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on global
economic activity. Our analysis is based on country-specific monthly financial stress indices …

Are global spillovers complementary or competitive? Need for international policy coordination

K Bhattarai, SK Mallick, B Yang - Journal of International Money and …, 2021 - Elsevier
Advanced and emerging economies are becoming more interdependent with rapid pace of
globalization of capital markets and technological innovations in recent years. We examine …

Tourism demand in the face of geopolitical risk: Insights from a cross-country analysis

E Papagianni, A Evgenidis… - Journal of Travel …, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
This paper develops a novel Bayesian heterogeneous panel vector autoregressive model (B-
HP-VAR) that quantifies the impact of geopolitical risk shocks on the tourism industry of 14 …