The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations

BH Meyer, B Prescott, XS Sheng - International Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
We document and evaluate how businesses are reacting to the COVID-19 crisis through
August 2020. First, on net, firms see the shock (thus far) largely as a demand rather than …

Tell me something i don't already know: Learning in low and high-inflation settings

M Weber, B Candia, H Afrouzi, T Ropele, R Lluberas… - 2023 - nber.org
Using randomized control trials (RCTs) applied over time in different countries, we study
whether the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show …

How do firms form their expectations? New survey evidence

O Coibion, Y Gorodnichenko, S Kumar - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
Abstract We survey New Zealand firms and document novel facts about their
macroeconomic beliefs. There is widespread dispersion in beliefs about past and future …

Strategic inattention, inflation dynamics, and the nonneutrality of money

H Afrouzi - Journal of Political Economy, 2024 - journals.uchicago.edu
This paper studies how competition affects firms' expectations in a new dynamic general
equilibrium model with rational inattention and oligopolistic competition where firms acquire …

Firms' inflation expectations: New evidence from France

F Savignac, E Gautier, Y Gorodnichenko… - Journal of the …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence
about the measurement and formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First …

Firms' price, cost and activity expectations: Evidence from micro data

L Boneva, J Cloyne, M Weale… - The economic journal, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Firms' expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomic models, but little is known
empirically about them. Using panel data on manufacturing firms' expectations about prices …

Unit cost expectations and uncertainty: Firms' perspectives on inflation

B Meyer, XS Sheng - 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We propose a novel, survey-based measure of nominal marginal cost expectations held by
business decision makers to track building inflationary pressures and augment the existing …

[PDF][PDF] The effect of unconventional monetary policy on inflation expectations: evidence from firms in the United Kingdom

L Boneva, J Cloyne, M Weale, T Wieladek - 45th issue (September 2016) of …, 2018 - ijcb.org
This paper investigates the effect of quantitative easing (QE) and other unconventional
monetary policies on price and wage growth expectations of UK manufacturing firms. To …

What's behind firms' inflation forecasts?

C Conflitti, R Zizza - Empirical Economics, 2021 - Springer
On what do firms base their expectations about future inflation? We investigate this by
exploiting the Survey of Inflation and Growth Expectations carried out by Banca d'Italia and Il …

Survey measures of inflation expectations in Poland: are they relevant from the macroeconomic perspective?

T Łyziak - Baltic Journal of Economics, 2016 - ceeol.com
This paper estimates different versions of the stylized New Keynesian model of the Polish
economy, in which alternative measures of inflation expectations are used, that is …