The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations
We document and evaluate how businesses are reacting to the COVID-19 crisis through
August 2020. First, on net, firms see the shock (thus far) largely as a demand rather than …
August 2020. First, on net, firms see the shock (thus far) largely as a demand rather than …
Tell me something i don't already know: Learning in low and high-inflation settings
Using randomized control trials (RCTs) applied over time in different countries, we study
whether the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show …
whether the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show …
How do firms form their expectations? New survey evidence
Abstract We survey New Zealand firms and document novel facts about their
macroeconomic beliefs. There is widespread dispersion in beliefs about past and future …
macroeconomic beliefs. There is widespread dispersion in beliefs about past and future …
Strategic inattention, inflation dynamics, and the nonneutrality of money
H Afrouzi - Journal of Political Economy, 2024 - journals.uchicago.edu
This paper studies how competition affects firms' expectations in a new dynamic general
equilibrium model with rational inattention and oligopolistic competition where firms acquire …
equilibrium model with rational inattention and oligopolistic competition where firms acquire …
Firms' inflation expectations: New evidence from France
Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence
about the measurement and formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First …
about the measurement and formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First …
Firms' price, cost and activity expectations: Evidence from micro data
Firms' expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomic models, but little is known
empirically about them. Using panel data on manufacturing firms' expectations about prices …
empirically about them. Using panel data on manufacturing firms' expectations about prices …
Unit cost expectations and uncertainty: Firms' perspectives on inflation
We propose a novel, survey-based measure of nominal marginal cost expectations held by
business decision makers to track building inflationary pressures and augment the existing …
business decision makers to track building inflationary pressures and augment the existing …
[PDF][PDF] The effect of unconventional monetary policy on inflation expectations: evidence from firms in the United Kingdom
This paper investigates the effect of quantitative easing (QE) and other unconventional
monetary policies on price and wage growth expectations of UK manufacturing firms. To …
monetary policies on price and wage growth expectations of UK manufacturing firms. To …
What's behind firms' inflation forecasts?
C Conflitti, R Zizza - Empirical Economics, 2021 - Springer
On what do firms base their expectations about future inflation? We investigate this by
exploiting the Survey of Inflation and Growth Expectations carried out by Banca d'Italia and Il …
exploiting the Survey of Inflation and Growth Expectations carried out by Banca d'Italia and Il …
Survey measures of inflation expectations in Poland: are they relevant from the macroeconomic perspective?
T Łyziak - Baltic Journal of Economics, 2016 - ceeol.com
This paper estimates different versions of the stylized New Keynesian model of the Polish
economy, in which alternative measures of inflation expectations are used, that is …
economy, in which alternative measures of inflation expectations are used, that is …