Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach

C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …

Monetary policy analysis when planning horizons are finite

M Woodford - NBER macroeconomics annual, 2019 - journals.uchicago.edu
It is common to analyze the effects of alternative possible monetary policy commitments
under the assumption of optimization under rational (or fully model-consistent) expectations …

[HTML][HTML] Economic forecasting with an agent-based model

S Poledna, MG Miess, C Hommes… - European Economic …, 2023 - Elsevier
We develop the first agent-based model (ABM) that can compete with benchmark VAR and
DSGE models in out-of-sample forecasting of macro variables. Our ABM for a small open …

The science of monetary policy: An imperfect knowledge perspective

S Eusepi, B Preston - Journal of Economic Literature, 2018 - aeaweb.org
This paper reevaluates the basic prescriptions of monetary policy design in the new
Keynesian paradigm through the lens of imperfect knowledge. We show that while the basic …

Stabilisation Policy, Rational Expectations and Price‐Level versus Inflation Targeting: A Survey

M Hatcher, P Minford - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
We survey literature comparing inflation targeting (IT) and price‐level targeting (PT) as
macroeconomic stabilisation policies. Our focus is on New Keynesian models and areas that …

The modeling of expectations in empirical DSGE models: A survey

F Milani - … in macroeconomics: Estimation, evaluation, and new …, 2012 - emerald.com
This paper surveys the treatment of expectations in estimated Dynamic Stochastic General
Equilibrium (DSGE) macroeconomic models. A recent notable development in the empirical …

Sentiment and the US business cycle

F Milani - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2017 - Elsevier
Psychological factors are commonly believed to play a role on cyclical economic
fluctuations, but they are typically omitted from state-of-the-art macroeconomic models. This …

Learning in an estimated medium-scale DSGE model

S Slobodyan, R Wouters - Journal of Economic Dynamics and control, 2012 - Elsevier
We evaluate the empirical relevance of learning by private agents in an estimated medium-
scale DSGE model. We replace the standard rational expectations assumption in the Smets …

[HTML][HTML] Animal spirits and credit cycles

P De Grauwe, C Macchiarelli - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2015 - Elsevier
In this paper we extend the behavioral macroeconomic model as proposed by De Grauwe
(2012) to include a banking sector. The behavioral model takes the view that agents have …

Fiscal foundations of inflation: imperfect knowledge

S Eusepi, B Preston - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect
knowledge and learning. Because imperfect knowledge breaks Ricardian equivalence, the …