Decisions under risk are decisions under complexity

R Oprea - American Economic Review, 2024 - pubs.aeaweb.org
We provide evidence that classic lottery anomalies like probability weighting and loss
aversion are not special phenomena of risk. They also arise (and often with equal strength) …

Over-and underreaction to information

C Ba, JA Bohren, A Imas - Available at SSRN 4274617, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper explores how cognitive constraints—namely, attention and processing capacity—
interact with properties of the learning environment to determine how people react to …

Behavioral attenuation

B Enke, T Graeber, R Oprea, J Yang - 2024 - nber.org
We report a large-scale examination of behavioral attenuation: due to information-
processing constraints, the elasticity of people's decisions with respect to economic …

[PDF][PDF] The Cognitive Turn in Behavioral Economics

B Enke - 2024 - benjamin-enke.com
This review organizes the vibrant recent literature on the cognitive foundations of economic
decision-making. At a basic level, this entire literature studies imperfections in information …

On the source and instability of probability weighting

C Frydman, LJ Jin - 2023 - nber.org
We propose and experimentally test a new theory of probability distortions in risky choice.
The theory is based on a core principle from neuroscience called efficient coding, which …

Ranges of randomization

M Agranov, P Ortoleva - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2023 - direct.mit.edu
A growing literature has shown that people sometimes prefer to randomize between two
options. We investigate how prevalent this behavior is in an experiment using a novel and …

[PDF][PDF] Separating Preferences from Endogenous Effort and Cognitive Noise in Observed Decisions

C Belzil, T Jagelka - 2024 - aeaweb.org
We develop a micro-founded framework for accounting for individuals' effort and cognitive
noise which confound estimates of preferences based on observed behavior. Using a …

Stakes and investor behaviors

P Sui, B Wang - Available at SSRN 4219861, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We examine how stakes affect investor behaviors. In our unique setting, the same investors
trade stocks in real accounts using their own money and, at the same time, trade in a …

Bayesian estimation yields anti-Weber variability

A Prat-Carrabin, SJ Gershman - bioRxiv, 2024 - biorxiv.org
A classic result of psychophysics is that human perceptual estimates are more variable for
larger magnitudes. This 'Weber behavior'has typically not been the focus of the prominent …

Rapid Changes in Risk Preferences Originate from Bayesian Inference on Parietal Magnitude Representations

G de Hollander, M Grueschow, F Hennel, CC Ruff - bioRxiv, 2024 - biorxiv.org
Risk preferences-the willingness to accept greater uncertainty to achieve larger potential
rewards-determine many aspects of our lives and are often interpreted as an individual trait …