In an interconnected world, economic and political interests inevitably reach beyond
national borders. Since policy choices generate external economic and political costs …

In this article, we propose a framework to tackle conflict prevention, an issue which has
received interest in several policy areas. A key challenge of conflict forecasting for …

We study optimal methods for Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR), a technique to achieve
settlement and avoid costly adversarial hearings. Participation is voluntary. Disputants are …

Can an uninformed mediator improve outcomes in a dynamic reputational bargaining
model? I show that a simple communication protocol used by professional mediators, of …

How should mediators communicate with bargainers? When can they improve outcomes?
Can arbitrators that impose outcomes do better? I provide answers in wars of attrition with …

Building on theories of international relations, we analyze how mistrust (uncertainty about an
adversary's preferences or capabilities), misperception (imperfect observation of an …

Using a simple bargaining game, we investigate how strategic interactions are shaped by
preferences, technology, and endowments. We study whether changes in relative military …

Power-sharing agreements are used as a tool to reduce political violence in regions of
conflict, but agreements are often followed by violence. This is due to the fact that such …

I study ultimatum bargaining with imperfectly observed offers. Imperfectly observed offers
must be rejected with positive probability, even when the players' preferences are common …

I formalize interactions between an endogenously rising challenger and a rival defender
who can accept the challenger's rise, go to war before the rise comes to fruition, or degrade …