Political budget cycles: Manipulation by leaders versus manipulation by researchers? Evidence from a meta‐regression analysis
P Mandon, A Cazals - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Despite a long history of research on political budget cycles, their existence and magnitude
are still in question. By conducting a systematic analysis of the existing literature, we intend …
are still in question. By conducting a systematic analysis of the existing literature, we intend …
[HTML][HTML] Procyclicality of fiscal policy in European Union countries
Using real-time data, we examine whether fiscal policy has been counter-or procyclical in a
panel of 27 European Union (EU) member states over the period 2000–2015. We also …
panel of 27 European Union (EU) member states over the period 2000–2015. We also …
National numerical fiscal rules: Not complied with, but still effective?
WH Reuter - European Journal of Political Economy, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the effects of (non-) compliance with national numerical fiscal rules
on fiscal policy in 11 EU member states with 23 fiscal rules in place from 1994 to 2012 …
on fiscal policy in 11 EU member states with 23 fiscal rules in place from 1994 to 2012 …
Real-time fiscal policy responses in the OECD from 1997 to 2018: Procyclical but sustainable?
This paper presents empirical evidence of asymmetric fiscal policy along the business cycle,
using a real-time panel dataset on 19 OECD countries from 1997 to 2018. We estimate …
using a real-time panel dataset on 19 OECD countries from 1997 to 2018. We estimate …
Fiscal forecast errors: governments versus independent agencies?
We present evidence pointing to the fact that international agencies' fiscal forecasts were
affected to some extent by the same type of problems that the literature widely …
affected to some extent by the same type of problems that the literature widely …
Democracy, elections and government budget deficits
J Haan - German Economic Review, 2014 - degruyter.com
I review research on the relationship between democracy and government indebtedness. I
first discuss whether the extent to which politicians use fiscal policy for reelection purposes …
first discuss whether the extent to which politicians use fiscal policy for reelection purposes …
The influence of transparency on budget forecast deviations in municipal governments
AM Ríos, MD Guillamón, B Benito… - Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
This paper analyzes the impact of transparency on fiscal performance. Our sample
considers the 100 largest Spanish municipalities for the years 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, and …
considers the 100 largest Spanish municipalities for the years 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, and …
On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries
B Jochimsen, R Lehmann - Public Choice, 2017 - Springer
Sustainable budgets are important quality signals for the electorate. Politicians might thus
have an incentive to influence tax revenue forecasts, which are widely regarded as a key …
have an incentive to influence tax revenue forecasts, which are widely regarded as a key …
Budget forecast deviations in municipal governments: Determinants and implications
B Benito, MD Guillamón… - Australian Accounting …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
This paper analyses the determinants of municipalities' budget forecast quality, showing
opportunistic behaviour influenced by the electoral cycle. Incumbents overestimate revenue …
opportunistic behaviour influenced by the electoral cycle. Incumbents overestimate revenue …
Uninformed voters with (im) precise expectations: Explaining political budget cycle puzzles
L Crombach, F Bohn - Economics & Politics, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Governments try to improve re‐election chances by using fiscal instruments; they can shift
voters' expectations of government competence because some voters are impaired by …
voters' expectations of government competence because some voters are impaired by …