[HTML][HTML] Decadal climate variability and predictability: Challenges and opportunities

C Cassou, Y Kushnir, E Hawkins… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The study of Decadal Climate Variability (DCV) and Predictability is the
interdisciplinary endeavor to characterize, understand, attribute, simulate, and predict the …

[HTML][HTML] The stratosphere: A review of the dynamics and variability

N Butchart - Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2022 - wcd.copernicus.org
Large-scale, intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability of the stratosphere is reviewed. Much
of the variability is dynamical and induced by waves emanating from the troposphere. It is …

[HTML][HTML] SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system

SJ Johnson, TN Stockdale, L Ferranti… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
In this paper we describe SEAS5, ECMWF's fifth generation seasonal forecast system, which
became operational in November 2017. Compared to its predecessor, System 4, SEAS5 is a …

[HTML][HTML] From CMIP3 to CMIP6: Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking simulation in present and future climate

P Davini, F d'Andrea - Journal of Climate, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
From CMIP3 to CMIP6: Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking Simulation in Present and
Future Climate in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 23 (2020) Jump to Content Jump to Main …

[HTML][HTML] The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification

DM Smith, JA Screen, C Deser, J Cohen… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
Polar amplification–the phenomenon where external radiative forcing produces a larger
change in surface temperature at high latitudes than the global average–is a key aspect of …

[HTML][HTML] Predicting near-term changes in the earth system: a large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the community earth system model

SG Yeager, G Danabasoglu… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Predicting Near-Term Changes in the Earth System: A Large Ensemble of Initialized Decadal
Prediction Simulations Using the Community Earth System Model in: Bulletin of the American …

[HTML][HTML] Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alessandri, A., F. Catalano, M. De Felice, B. Van Den Hurk, F. Doblas Reyes, S. Boussetta,
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …

[HTML][HTML] Decadal and multidecadal natural variability of African rainfall

HJ Lüdecke, G Müller-Plath, MG Wallace… - Journal of Hydrology …, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Study region Africa Study focus African rainfall shows significant year-to-year
natural fluctuations that in part are linked to teleconnections associated with modes of …

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

AA Scaife, MP Baldwin, AH Butler… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …

Benchmarking ensemble streamflow prediction skill in the UK

S Harrigan, C Prudhomme, S Parry… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2018 - hess.copernicus.org
Skilful hydrological forecasts at sub-seasonal to seasonal lead times would be extremely
beneficial for decision-making in water resources management, hydropower operations, and …