Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological
and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters' expectations are …

We propose a new general measure of district competitiveness that can be applied to both
PR and SMP systems. We define competitiveness as the degree of uncertainty in the …

This paper uses an original question to investigate voters' own evaluations of whether the
party they voted for won or lost the election. We examine which aspect of the party's electoral …

Whereas the classic literature on strategic voting has focused on the dilemma faced by
voters who prefer a candidate for whom they expect has little chance of winning a seat, we …

Having two votes for the same election or two simultaneous elections with different electoral
systems provides a golden opportunity to ascertain the impact of the electoral system and to …

Elections represent key moments in democratic countries, and an established finding from
the existing literature is that winners of elections display higher levels of satisfaction with …

The authors test a model of strategic vote choice in which the decision to support or not to
support a candidate depends on the benefit associated with the election of a given …

Most citizens correctly forecast which party will win a given election, and such forecasts
usually have a higher level of accuracy than voter intention polls. How do citizens do it? We …

A long-standing puzzle in electoral research is why the disproportionality of electoral
systems has a negative effect on voter participation in established democracies, but not in …

This paper explores the conditions under which voters in emerging democracies support
non-viable candidates. We argue that cognitive biases and the geographic clustering of …