[图书][B] Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals
MJ Keeling, P Rohani - 2011 - books.google.com
For epidemiologists, evolutionary biologists, and health-care professionals, real-time and
predictive modeling of infectious disease is of growing importance. This book provides a …
predictive modeling of infectious disease is of growing importance. This book provides a …
How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final-size calculation
Epidemic models have become a routinely used tool to inform policy on infectious disease.
A particular interest at the moment is the use of computationally intensive inference to …
A particular interest at the moment is the use of computationally intensive inference to …
The implications of network structure for epidemic dynamics
M Keeling - Theoretical population biology, 2005 - Elsevier
It has long been realised that the standard assumptions of mass-action mixing are a crude
approximation of the true mechanistic processes that govern the transmission of infection. In …
approximation of the true mechanistic processes that govern the transmission of infection. In …
Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing
F Ball, P Neal - Mathematical biosciences, 2008 - Elsevier
The study of epidemics on social networks has attracted considerable attention recently. In
this paper, we consider a stochastic SIR (susceptible→ infective→ removed) model for the …
this paper, we consider a stochastic SIR (susceptible→ infective→ removed) model for the …
Law of large numbers for the SIR epidemic on a random graph with given degrees
S Janson, M Luczak, P Windridge - Random Structures & …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We study the susceptible‐infective‐recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen
uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each …
uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each …
Epidemics on random graphs with tunable clustering
T Britton, M Deijfen, AN Lagerås… - Journal of Applied …, 2008 - cambridge.org
In this paper a branching process approximation for the spread of a Reed-Frost epidemic on
a network with tunable clustering is derived. The approximation gives rise to expressions for …
a network with tunable clustering is derived. The approximation gives rise to expressions for …
Algorithms using local graph features to predict epidemics
We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its
neighbors independently with probability p. This is also known as the independent cascade …
neighbors independently with probability p. This is also known as the independent cascade …
Exact and approximate moment closures for non-Markovian network epidemics
Moment-closure techniques are commonly used to generate low-dimensional deterministic
models to approximate the average dynamics of stochastic systems on networks. The quality …
models to approximate the average dynamics of stochastic systems on networks. The quality …
Influence of contact heterogeneity on TB reproduction ratio R0 in a free-living brushtail possum Trichosurus vulpecula population
T Porphyre, M Stevenson, R Jackson… - Veterinary …, 2008 - research.ed.ac.uk
Social network analyses were used to investigate contact patterns in a free-living possum
Trichosurus vulpecula population and to estimate the influence of contact on R0 for bovine …
Trichosurus vulpecula population and to estimate the influence of contact on R0 for bovine …
Inference of a rumor's source in the independent cascade model
P Berenbrink, M Hahn-Klimroth… - Uncertainty in …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
We consider the so-called Independent Cascade Model for rumor spreading or epidemic
processes popularized by Kempe et al.(2003). In this model, a node of a network is the …
processes popularized by Kempe et al.(2003). In this model, a node of a network is the …