Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession

M Feldkircher, F Huber… - Scottish journal of political …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The COVID‐19 recession that started in March 2020 led to an unprecedented decline in
economic activity across the globe. To fight this recession, policy makers in central banks …

Nowcasting tail risks to economic activity with many indicators

A Carriero, TE Clark, M Marcellino - 2020 - clevelandfed.org
This paper focuses on tail risk nowcasts of economic activity, measured by GDP growth, with
a potentially wide array of monthly and weekly information. We consider different models …

[HTML][HTML] A multi-task encoder-dual-decoder framework for mixed frequency data prediction

J Lin, G Michailidis - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
Mixed-frequency data prediction tasks are pertinent in various application domains, in which
one leverages progressively available high-frequency data to forecast/nowcast the low …

Deep Learning-based Approaches for State Space Models: A Selective Review

J Lin, G Michailidis - arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.11211, 2024 - arxiv.org
State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis,
wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the …

Incorporating short data into large mixed-frequency vector autoregressions for regional nowcasting

G Koop, S McIntyre, J Mitchell, A Poon… - Journal of the Royal …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Interest in regional economic issues coupled with advances in administrative data is driving
the creation of new regional economic data. Many of these data series could be useful for …

Approximate bayesian inference

P Alquier - Entropy, 2020 - mdpi.com
Entropy | Free Full-Text | Approximate Bayesian Inference Next Article in Journal Minimum
Spanning vs. Principal Trees for Structured Approximations of Multi-Dimensional Datasets …

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German states: New data for business cycle analyses and long-run dynamics

R Lehmann, I Wikman - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states.
In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to …

Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Nigeria: A New Proof from Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression Approach

OJ Oyeleke, OG Onatunji - Global Business Review, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
The empirical investigation of the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal or monetary policy
changes has typically relied on the conventional vector autoregressive framework, which …

Identifying spatial interdependence in panel data with large N and small T

D Gefang, SG Hall, GS Tavlas - arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.03740, 2023 - arxiv.org
This paper develops a simple two-stage variational Bayesian algorithm to estimate panel
spatial autoregressive models, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger …

Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model

L Barbaglia, L Frattarolo, N Hauzenberger… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Timely information about the state of regional economies can be essential for planning,
implementing and evaluating locally targeted economic policies. However, European …