Decision-making under uncertainty: biases and Bayesians

PC Trimmer, AI Houston, JAR Marshall, MT Mendl… - Animal cognition, 2011 - Springer
Animals (including humans) often face circumstances in which the best choice of action is
not certain. Environmental cues may be ambiguous, and choices may be risky. This paper …

Incentives in experiments: A theoretical analysis

Y Azrieli, CP Chambers… - Journal of Political …, 2018 - journals.uchicago.edu
Experimental economists currently lack a convention for how to pay subjects in experiments
with multiple tasks. We provide a theoretical framework for analyzing this question …

Ambiguity and the Bayesian paradigm

I Gilboa, M Marinacci - Readings in formal epistemology: Sourcebook, 2016 - Springer
John and Lisa are offered additional insurance against the risk of a heart disease. They
would like to know the probability of developing such a disease over the next 10 years. The …

Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion

MJ Machina, M Siniscalchi - Handbook of the Economics of Risk and …, 2014 - Elsevier
The phenomena of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, introduced in Daniel Ellsberg's
seminal 1961 article, are ubiquitous in the real world and violate both the key rationality …

The ambiguity aversion literature: a critical assessment

NI Al-Najjar, J Weinstein - Economics & Philosophy, 2009 - cambridge.org
We provide a critical assessment of the ambiguity aversion literature, which we characterize
in terms of the view that Ellsberg choices are rational responses to ambiguity, to be …

Dynamic variational preferences

F Maccheroni, M Marinacci, A Rustichini - Journal of Economic Theory, 2006 - Elsevier
We introduce and axiomatize dynamic variational preferences, the dynamic version of the
variational preferences we axiomatized in [F. Maccheroni, M. Marinacci, A. Rustichini …

Updating ambiguity averse preferences

E Hanany, P Klibanoff - The BE Journal of Theoretical Economics, 2009 - degruyter.com
Dynamic consistency leads to Bayesian updating under expected utility. We ask what it
implies for the updating of more general preferences. In this paper, we characterize …

A dynamic Ellsberg urn experiment

A Dominiak, P Duersch, JP Lefort - Games and Economic Behavior, 2012 - Elsevier
Many theories of updating under ambiguity assume either dynamic consistency or
consequentialism to underpin behaviorally the link between conditional and unconditional …

Bipolar orientations revisited

H De Fraysseix, PO de Mendez… - Discrete Applied …, 1995 - Elsevier
Acyclic orientations with exactly one source and one sink—the so-called bipolar orientations-
arise in many graph algorithms and specially in graph drawing. The fundamental properties …

Heterogeneity of ambiguity preferences

DO Stahl - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2014 - direct.mit.edu
There is much interest in ambiguity-averse behavior under uncertainty, and many theories
have been advanced to explain this. Empirical analyses of choices involving ambiguous …