How does the potential for socialization affect states' abilities to reassure each other and
mitigate the security dilemma? Rationalist scholarship has identified numerous mechanisms …

Uncertainty is pervasive in international politics. This uncertainty can have many sources.
Each source has different origins and implications for the likelihood of conflict. Existing …

This study focuses on sources of uncertainty in two substantive areas of international
security: militarized disputes and economic sanctions. We revisit realist and liberal debates …

Signaling games are central to political science but often have multiple equilibria, leading to
no definitive prediction. We demonstrate that these indeterminacies create substantial …

China's infringement of foreign intellectual property (IP) raises the question of how
multinational corporations (MNCs) navigate the risky investment landscape. Conventional …

The existing international relations literature is characterized by two perspectives on dispute
settlement. One views dispute settlement as an enforcement instrument, the other as a …

When do states stand firm, back down, concede or settle with the status quo? The crisis
bargaining literature offers a rich assessment of the dynamics of international conflict …

As mentioned, a key assumption in these models concerns how the analyst specifies the
variance-covariance matrix of the payoff shocks (Schultz and Lewis 2005; Whang 2010) …

In the first essay of my dissertation, I derive a strategic statistical duration model from a
formal model of bargaining and reputation and fit the model to civil war duration data from …

This paper structurally estimates a dynamic game of international crisis escalation in which
countries have infinite-time horizons and the strategic environment, or stage game, evolves …