In 2018, the United States launched a trade war with China, marking an abrupt departure
from its historical leadership in integrating global markets. By late 2019, the United States …

Trade policy uncertainty (TPU) has become an important source of economic uncertainty
and research. We review the main sources and measures of TPU. We then provide a …

We develop a novel two stage methodology that allows us to study the empirical
determinants of the ex post effects of past free trade agreements (FTAs) as well as obtain ex …

We propose a simple method to identify the effects of unilateral and non‐discriminatory trade
policies on bilateral trade within a theoretically consistent empirical gravity model …

Geopolitical conflicts have increasingly been a driver of trade policy. We study the potential
effects of global and persistent geopolitical conflicts on trade, technological innovation, and …

" The antecedent to the present work is Marian Radetzki's book A Guide to Primary
Commodities in the World Economy, published by Blackwell in 1990, three decades ago. In …

We estimate the uncertainty effects of preferential trade disagreements. Increases in the
probability of Britain's exit from the European Union (Brexit) reduce bilateral export values …

When Robert Lighthizer arrived on the global stage as the Trump administration's newly
installed US Trade Representative on December 11, 2017, he had an important message for …

Abstract Despite the “Phase One Deal” agreed on mid-December 2019, bilateral tariffs
between US and China remain at unprecedented high levels, which will have long-lasting …

An important economic paradox in the economic literature is that countries with abundant
natural resources are poor in terms of real gross domestic product per capita. This paradox …