[HTML][HTML] The 79 CE eruption of Vesuvius: A lesson from the past and the need of a multidisciplinary approach for developments in volcanology

DM Doronzo, MA Di Vito, I Arienzo, M Bini, B Calusi… - Earth-Science …, 2022 - Elsevier
A full review of the 79 CE Plinian eruption of Vesuvius is presented through a
multidisciplinary approach, exploiting the integration of historical, stratigraphic …

Major explosions and paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy): A new historical catalog and temporal models of occurrence with uncertainty quantification

A Bevilacqua, A Bertagnini, M Pompilio, P Landi… - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
Stromboli volcano (Italy), always active with low energy explosive activity, is a very attractive
place for visitors, scientists, and inhabitants of the island. Nevertheless, occasional more …

A simple two-state model interprets temporal modulations in eruptive activity and enhances multivolcano hazard quantification

J Selva, L Sandri, M Taroni, R Sulpizio, P Tierz… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
Volcanic activity typically switches between high-activity states with many eruptions and low-
activity states with few or no eruptions. We present a simple two-regime physics-informed …

Initiation of dilute and concentrated pyroclastic currents from collapsing mixtures and origin of their proximal deposits

GA Valentine - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2020 - Springer
Numerical solution of the time-dependent conservation equations for mass, momentum,
specific internal energy, and granular temperature in flows involving gas-particle mixtures is …

Lahar events in the last 2000 years from Vesuvius eruptions–Part 3: Hazard assessment over the Campanian Plain

L Sandri, M de'Michieli Vitturi, A Costa, MA Di Vito… - Solid Earth, 2024 - se.copernicus.org
In this study we present a novel general methodology for probabilistic volcanic hazard
assessment (PVHA) for lahars. We apply the methodology to perform a probabilistic …

Synthetic benchmarking of concentrated pyroclastic current models

V Gueugneau, S Charbonnier, T Esposti Ongaro… - Bulletin of …, 2021 - Springer
Validation and benchmarking of pyroclastic current (PC) models is required to evaluate their
performance and their reliability for hazard assessment. Here, we present results of a …

Event trees and epistemic uncertainty in long‐term volcanic hazard assessment of rift volcanoes: the example of Aluto (Central Ethiopia)

P Tierz, B Clarke, ES Calder… - Geochemistry …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Aluto is a peralkaline rhyolitic caldera located in a highly populated area in central Ethiopia.
Its postcaldera eruptive activity has mainly consisted of self‐similar, pumice‐cone‐building …

The zero problem: Gaussian process emulators for range-constrained computer models

ET Spiller, RL Wolpert, P Tierz, TG Asher - SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty …, 2023 - SIAM
We introduce a zero-censored Gaussian process as a systematic, model-based approach to
building Gaussian process emulators for range-constrained simulator output. This approach …

Dynamic probabilistic hazard mapping in the Long Valley Volcanic Region CA: integrating vent opening maps and statistical surrogates of physical models of …

R Rutarindwa, ET Spiller, A Bevilacqua… - Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Ideally, probabilistic hazard assessments combine available knowledge about physical
mechanisms of the hazard, data on past hazards, and any precursor information …

Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment for pyroclastic density currents from pumice cone eruptions at Aluto volcano, Ethiopia

B Clarke, P Tierz, E Calder, G Yirgu - Frontiers in Earth Science, 2020 - frontiersin.org
Aluto volcano, in the Main Ethiopian Rift, is a peralkaline caldera system, which comprises
conglomerations of rhyolite (obsidian) lavas and enigmatic pumice cones. Recent work at …