Climate risk management
K Keller, C Helgeson… - Annual Review of Earth …, 2021 - annualreviews.org
Accelerating global climate change drives new climate risks. People around the world are
researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and …
researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and …
Uncertainty analysis in multi‐sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems
Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …
Why simpler computer simulation models can be epistemically better for informing decisions
For computer simulation models to usefully inform climate risk management, uncertainties in
model projections must be explored and characterized. Because doing so requires running …
model projections must be explored and characterized. Because doing so requires running …
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
S Dietz, F Koninx - nature communications, 2022 - nature.com
Abstract Melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) could contribute metres to global sea level
rise (SLR) in the long run. We couple models of AIS melting due to rising temperatures, SLR …
rise (SLR) in the long run. We couple models of AIS melting due to rising temperatures, SLR …
A review on computer model calibration
Abstract Model calibration is crucial for optimizing the performance of complex computer
models across various disciplines. In the era of Industry 4.0, symbolizing rapid technological …
models across various disciplines. In the era of Industry 4.0, symbolizing rapid technological …
Probabilistic projections of the Amery Ice Shelf catchment, Antarctica, under conditions of high ice-shelf basal melt
Antarctica's Lambert Glacier drains about one-sixth of the ice from the East Antarctic Ice
Sheet and is considered stable due to the strong buttressing provided by the Amery Ice …
Sheet and is considered stable due to the strong buttressing provided by the Amery Ice …
Comparing glacial‐geological evidence and model simulations of ice sheet change since the last glacial period in the Amundsen Sea sector of Antarctica
JS Johnson, D Pollard, PL Whitehouse… - Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Since the Last Glacial Maximum∼ 20,000 years ago, the Antarctic Ice Sheet has
undergone extensive changes, resulting in a much smaller present‐day configuration …
undergone extensive changes, resulting in a much smaller present‐day configuration …
Systematic calibration of a convection‐resolving model: Application over tropical Atlantic
Non‐hydrostatic km‐scale weather and climate models show significant improvements in
simulating clouds and precipitation, especially of convective nature. However, even km …
simulating clouds and precipitation, especially of convective nature. However, even km …
Neglecting model parametric uncertainty can drastically underestimate flood risks
Floods drive dynamic and deeply uncertain risks for people and infrastructures. Uncertainty
characterization is a crucial step in improving the predictive understanding of multi‐sector …
characterization is a crucial step in improving the predictive understanding of multi‐sector …
A model calibration procedure for count response
Y Sun, X Fang - Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In recent years, there are numerous articles about computer model calibration. But these
articles mainly focus on continuous output variables for the convenience of the derivation …
articles mainly focus on continuous output variables for the convenience of the derivation …