A time-varying approach of the US welfare cost of inflation

SM Miller, LF Martins, R Gupta - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2019 - cambridge.org
Money-demand specifications exhibit instability, especially for long spans of data. This
paper reconsiders the welfare cost of inflation for the US economy using a flexible time …

South Africa's economic response to monetary policy uncertainty

M Balcilar, R Gupta, C Jooste - Journal of Economic Studies, 2017 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to study the evolution of monetary policy uncertainty
and its impact on the South African economy. Design/methodology/approach The authors …

Forecasting core inflation: The case of South Africa

F Ruch, M Balcilar, R Gupta, MP Modise - Applied Economics, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
Underlying, or core, inflation is likely the most important variable for monetary policy. It is
considered to be the optimal nominal anchor as it is stable, excludes relative price shocks …

Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?

A De Waal, R Van Eyden, R Gupta - Applied Economics, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
This study determines whether the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach provides
better forecasts of key South African variables than a vector error correction model (VECM) …

Backcasting cement production and characterizing cement's economic cycles for Chile 1991–2015

BJ Idrovo-Aguirre, JE Contreras-Reyes - Empirical Economics, 2019 - Springer
Cement is a non-storable input in the medium and long term. The evidence in Chile shows
that cement supply and demand are in relative equilibrium, so the demand or supply of this …

Forecasting and financial statement adjustment; the case of retail stores in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

MA Mbambo, MO Odunayo, BT Ngiba - African Journal of Business …, 2021 - journals.co.za
Forecasting and financial statement adjustment; The case of retail stores in KwaZulu-Natal,
South Africa Page 1 309 Forecasting and financial statement adjustment; The case of retail …

[PDF][PDF] Les politiques macroprudentielles dans l'UEMOA

S Guérineau, M Goujon, R Sawadogo - 2016 - hal.science
La crise financière globale a amené l'ensemble des pays à renforcer l'attention accordée à
la stabilité financière dans la définition de leurs politiques économiques. La réflexion sur les …

Second-round effects on inflation, and underlying inflation

FU Ruch - 2016 - scholar.sun.ac.za
Abstract ENGLISH SUMMARY: Supply shocks, especially food and energy price shocks,
play a significant role in the evolution and dynamics of headline consumer price inflation in …

Essays on inflation forecasts and Bayesian estimation of central bank policy preferences

SK Opata - 2024 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
This thesis consists of three essays which address important topics on inflation forecasts and
central bank policy preferences in Ghana and South Africa. The second Chapter evaluates …

[PDF][PDF] Endogenous Fluctuations in an Endogenous Growth Model with Inflation Targeting

R Gupta, L Stander - 2014 - up.ac.za
This paper develops a monetary endogenous growth overlapping generations model
characterized by production lags-specifically lagged capital inputs-and an inflation targeting …