Climate change impacts on snow avalanche activity and related risks

N Eckert, C Corona, F Giacona, J Gaume… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
In the rapidly evolving mountain cryosphere, snow avalanches threaten livelihoods,
settlements and infrastructure. In this Review, we analyse past and projected impacts of …

GIS-based spatial modeling of snow avalanches using four novel ensemble models

P Yariyan, M Avand, RA Abbaspour, M Karami… - Science of The Total …, 2020 - Elsevier
Snow avalanches can destroy lives and infrastructure and are very important phenomena in
some regions of the world. This study maps snow avalanche susceptibility in Sirvan …

Quantitative risk and optimal design approaches in the snow avalanche field: Review and extensions

N Eckert, CJ Keylock, D Bertrand, E Parent… - Cold Regions Science …, 2012 - Elsevier
Standard engineering procedures, such as adopting high return periods as reference
events, are a simplified means of handling the complex and multivariate nature of snow …

Combining random forests and class-balancing to discriminate between three classes of avalanche activity in the French Alps

PD Sielenou, L Viallon-Galinier, P Hagenmuller… - Cold Regions Science …, 2021 - Elsevier
Determining avalanche activity corresponding to given snow and meteorological conditions
is an old problem of high practical relevance. To address it, numerous statistical forecasting …

Temporal trends in avalanche activity in the French Alps and subregions: from occurrences and runout altitudes to unsteady return periods

N Eckert, CJ Keylock, H Castebrunet, A Lavigne… - Journal of …, 2013 - cambridge.org
We present an analysis of temporal trends in∼ 55 000 avalanches recorded between 1946
and 2010 in the French Alps and two north/south subregions. First, Bayesian hierarchical …

A spatio-temporal modelling framework for assessing the fluctuations of avalanche occurrence resulting from climate change: application to 60 years of data in the …

N Eckert, E Parent, R Kies, H Baya - Climatic change, 2010 - Springer
Based on a previous township-scale model, a spatio-temporal framework is proposed to
study the fluctuations of avalanche occurrence possibly resulting from climate change. The …

Snow and weather climatic control on snow avalanche occurrence fluctuations over 50 yr in the French Alps

H Castebrunet, N Eckert, G Giraud - Climate of the Past, 2012 - cp.copernicus.org
Snow avalanche activity is controlled to a large extent by snow and weather patterns.
However, its response to climate fluctuations remains poorly documented. Previous studies …

[HTML][HTML] Extreme avalanche cycles: Return levels and probability distributions depending on snow and meteorological conditions

G Evin, PD Sielenou, N Eckert, P Naveau… - Weather and Climate …, 2021 - Elsevier
Remarkable episodes of avalanche events, so-called snow avalanche cycles, are recurring
threats to people and infrastructures in mountainous areas. This study focuses on the hazard …

Winter–spring prediction of snow avalanche susceptibility using optimisation multi-source heterogeneous factors in the Western Tianshan Mountains, China

J Yang, Q He, Y Liu - Remote Sensing, 2022 - mdpi.com
Data-driven methods are commonly applied in avalanche hazard evaluation. However, few
studies have tapped into the relationship between the explanatory variables and avalanche …

[HTML][HTML] Assessing the response of snow avalanche runout altitudes to climate fluctuations using hierarchical modeling: application to 61 winters of data in France

N Eckert, H Baya, M Deschâtres - Journal of Climate, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Snow avalanches are natural hazards strongly controlled by the mountain winter climate, but
their recent response to climate change has thus far been poorly documented. In this paper …