Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards

B Merz, C Kuhlicke, M Kunz, M Pittore… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling and prediction of aftershock activity

S Baranov, C Narteau, P Shebalin - Surveys in Geophysics, 2022 - Springer
We provide an overview of the basic models of the aftershock processes and advanced
methods used to predict postseismic hazard. We consider both the physical mechanisms for …

Statistical correlation analysis between thermal infrared anomalies observed from MTSATs and large earthquakes occurred in Japan (2005–2015)

N Genzano, C Filizzola, K Hattori… - Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The literature often reports space–time relations between the abnormal variations of different
kinds of nonseismological (ie, geophysical, geochemical, and atmospheric) parameters and …

Long-term RST analysis of anomalous TIR sequences in relation with earthquakes occurred in Greece in the period 2004–2013

A Eleftheriou, C Filizzola, N Genzano, T Lacava… - Pure and Applied …, 2016 - Springer
Real-time integration of multi-parametric observations is expected to accelerate the process
toward improved, and operationally more effective, systems for time-Dependent Assessment …

A software tool for hybrid earthquake forecasting in New Zealand

KM Graham, A Christophersen… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Earthquake forecasts estimate the likelihood of seismic activity within a specific region over
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …

RST Analysis of anomalous TIR sequences in Relation with earthquakes occurred in Turkey in the period 2004–2015

C Filizzola, A Corrado, N Genzano, M Lisi, N Pergola… - Remote Sensing, 2022 - mdpi.com
The paper provides, for the first time, a long-term (> 10 years) analysis of anomalous
transients in Earth's emitted radiation over Turkey and neighbouring regions. The RST …

Machine learning methods for seismic hazards forecast

VG Gitis, AB Derendyaev - Geosciences, 2019 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we suggest two machine learning methods for seismic hazard forecast. The
first method is used for spatial forecasting of maximum possible earthquake magnitudes (M …

Analyzing the performance of GPS data for earthquake prediction

V Gitis, A Derendyaev, K Petrov - Remote sensing, 2021 - mdpi.com
The results of earthquake prediction largely depend on the quality of data and the methods
of their joint processing. At present, for a number of regions, it is possible, in addition to data …

Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model

M Herrmann, W Marzocchi - Geophysical Journal International, 2023 - academic.oup.com
An ensemble model integrates forecasts of different models (or different parametrizations of
the same model) into one single ensemble forecast. This procedure has different names in …

Operational Earthquake Forecasting in Italy: validation after 10 yr of operativity

I Spassiani, G Falcone, M Murru… - Geophysical Journal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we gather and take stock of the results produced by the Operational
Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) system in Italy, during its first 10 yr of operativity. The system …