Count time series models

K Fokianos - Handbook of statistics, 2012 - Elsevier
We review regression models for count time series. We discuss the approach that is based
on generalized linear models and the class of integer autoregressive processes. The …

On MCMC sampling in self-exciting integer-valued threshold time series models

K Yang, X Yu, Q Zhang, X Dong - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been shown to be a useful tool
in many branches in statistics. However, due to the complex structure of the models, this …

Approximate bayesian forecasting

DT Frazier, W Maneesoonthorn, GM Martin… - International Journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become increasingly prominent as
a method for conducting parameter inference in a range of challenging statistical problems …

Multivariate integer-valued time series with flexible autocovariances and their application to major hurricane counts

J Livsey, R Lund, S Kechagias, V Pipiras - The Annals of Applied Statistics, 2018 - JSTOR
This paper examines a bivariate count time series with some curious statistical features:
Saffir–Simpson Category 3 and stronger annual hurricane counts in the North Atlantic and …

Efficient probabilistic forecasts for counts

BPM McCabe, GM Martin… - Journal of the Royal …, 2011 - academic.oup.com
Efficient probabilistic forecasts of integer-valued random variables are derived. The
optimality is achieved by estimating the forecast distribution non-parametrically over a given …

Dynamic factor models for multivariate count data: An application to stock-market trading activity

RC Jung, R Liesenfeld, JF Richard - Journal of Business & …, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
We propose a dynamic factor model for the analysis of multivariate time series count data.
Our model allows for idiosyncratic as well as common serially correlated latent factors in …

Bayesian modeling of multivariate time series of counts

R Soyer, D Zhang - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, we present an overview of recent advances in Bayesian modeling and
analysis of multivariate time series of counts. We discuss basic modeling strategies …

[图书][B] Non-linear time series

K Turkman, MG Scotto, ZB Patrícia - 2014 - Springer
Linear processes have been one of the most fundamental tools in modeling serially
dependent data. These models and methods heavily depend on Gaussian processes and …

On MCMC sampling in random coefficients self-exciting integer-valued threshold autoregressive processes

K Yang, A Li, X Yu, X Dong - Journal of Statistical Computation and …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In this study, Bayesian estimation is performed for a class of random coefficient self-exciting
integer-valued threshold autoregressive processes with explanatory variables. A new model …

Forecast horizon aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA) models

M Mohammadipour, JE Boylan - Omega, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper addresses aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA)
models. Although aggregation in continuous-valued time series has been widely discussed …