Crude oil and stock markets: Stability, instability, and bubbles

JI Miller, RA Ratti - Energy economics, 2009 - Elsevier
We analyze the long-run relationship between the world price of crude oil and international
stock markets over 1971: 1–2008: 3 using a cointegrated vector error correction model with …

[PDF][PDF] Threshold cointegration: overview and implementation in R

M Stigler - R package version 0.7-2. URL http://stat. ethz. ch …, 2010 - Citeseer
Purpose of this paper is twofold. It is first to offer a rough overview on the field of threshold
cointegration, from the seminal paper of Balke and Fomby (1997) to the recent …

Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models

A Banerjee, M Marcellino, I Masten - International Journal of Forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
As a generalization of the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and of the Error Correction Model
(ECM), Banerjee and Marcellino (2009) introduced the Factor-augmented Error Correction …

Cointegration rank testing under conditional heteroskedasticity

G Cavaliere, A Rahbek, AMR Taylor - Econometric Theory, 2010 - cambridge.org
We analyze the properties of the conventional Gaussian-based cointegrating rank tests of
Johansen (1996, Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive …

Nonstationarity in time series of state densities

Y Chang, CS Kim, JY Park - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a new framework to analyze the nonstationarity in the time series of
state densities, representing either cross-sectional or intra-period distributions of some …

Automated estimation of vector error correction models

Z Liao, PCB Phillips - Econometric Theory, 2015 - cambridge.org
Model selection and associated issues of post-model selection inference present well
known challenges in empirical econometric research. These modeling issues are manifest …

[图书][B] An overview of the factor-augmented error-correction model

A Banerjee, M Marcellino, I Masten - 2016 - emerald.com
Abstract The Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model (FECM) generalizes the factor-
augmented VAR (FAVAR) and the Error-Correction Model (ECM), combining error …

Lag length selection in panel autoregression

C Han, PCB Phillips, D Sul - Econometric Reviews, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
Model selection by BIC is well known to be inconsistent in the presence of incidental
parameters. This article shows that, somewhat surprisingly, even without fixed effects in …

Kernel-based inference in time-varying coefficient cointegrating regression

D Li, PCB Phillips, J Gao - Journal of Econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper studies nonlinear cointegrating models with time-varying coefficients and
multiple nonstationary regressors using classic kernel smoothing methods to estimate the …

Representation of I (1) and I (2) autoregressive Hilbertian processes

BK Beare, WK Seo - Econometric Theory, 2020 - cambridge.org
We develop versions of the Granger–Johansen representation theorems for I (1) and I (2)
vector autoregressive processes that apply to processes taking values in an arbitrary …