The time variation in risk appetite and uncertainty

G Bekaert, EC Engstrom, NR Xu - Management Science, 2022 - pubsonline.informs.org
We formulate a dynamic no-arbitrage asset pricing model for equities and corporate bonds,
featuring time variation in both risk aversion and economic uncertainty. The joint dynamics …

Volatility spillovers during normal and high volatility states and their driving factors: A cross‐country and cross‐asset analysis

N Iqbal, E Bouri, G Liu, A Kumar - International Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding the transmission of volatility across markets is essential for managing risk
and financial stability, especially under crisis periods during which an extreme event …

Treasury option returns and models with unspanned risks

G Bakshi, J Crosby, X Gao, JW Hansen - Journal of Financial Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
We document the phenomenon that average excess returns of out-of-the-money puts and
calls on bond futures are negative, both unconditionally and conditionally on economic …

Oil volatility risk

L Gao, S Hitzemann, I Shaliastovich, L Xu - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
The option-implied oil price volatility is a strong negative predictor of economic growth
beyond traditional uncertainty measures. A rise in oil volatility also predicts an increase in oil …

Uncertainty about interest rates and the real economy

M Qadan, K Shuval, O David - The North American Journal of Economics …, 2023 - Elsevier
This study utilizes data from the US options market and constructs a VIX-style measure of
forward-looking volatility about Treasury yields to capture uncertainty about interest rates …

Carbon vix: Carbon price uncertainty and decarbonization investments

M Fuchs, J Stroebel, J Terstegge - 2024 - nber.org
We study the effects of carbon price uncertainty on firms' decisions to decarbonize their
operations. We first use information on the pricing of options on emission allowances in the …

Long‐Run Risk: Is It There?

Y Liu, B Matthies - The Journal of Finance, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper documents the existence of a persistent component in consumption growth. We
take a novel approach using news coverage to capture investor concern about economic …

International spillovers of US financial volatility

KA Berg, NT Vu - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
We study the international spillover effects of US bond and stock market volatility using a
panel data set of seventeen developed countries. We find significant spillover impacts of US …

Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting

T Fang, D Miao, Z Su, L Yin - Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting international stock market volatility using the oil volatility risk premium (OVRP) is
important for asset allocation and financial risk management. In previous literature, the issue …

The crucial role of the five-year Treasury in the US yield curve

YL Chen - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper analyzes the connectedness and spillover transmission mechanism in the US
Treasury yields with different maturities than previous studies which focused on the spread …