The time variation in risk appetite and uncertainty
We formulate a dynamic no-arbitrage asset pricing model for equities and corporate bonds,
featuring time variation in both risk aversion and economic uncertainty. The joint dynamics …
featuring time variation in both risk aversion and economic uncertainty. The joint dynamics …
Volatility spillovers during normal and high volatility states and their driving factors: A cross‐country and cross‐asset analysis
Understanding the transmission of volatility across markets is essential for managing risk
and financial stability, especially under crisis periods during which an extreme event …
and financial stability, especially under crisis periods during which an extreme event …
Treasury option returns and models with unspanned risks
We document the phenomenon that average excess returns of out-of-the-money puts and
calls on bond futures are negative, both unconditionally and conditionally on economic …
calls on bond futures are negative, both unconditionally and conditionally on economic …
Oil volatility risk
The option-implied oil price volatility is a strong negative predictor of economic growth
beyond traditional uncertainty measures. A rise in oil volatility also predicts an increase in oil …
beyond traditional uncertainty measures. A rise in oil volatility also predicts an increase in oil …
Uncertainty about interest rates and the real economy
This study utilizes data from the US options market and constructs a VIX-style measure of
forward-looking volatility about Treasury yields to capture uncertainty about interest rates …
forward-looking volatility about Treasury yields to capture uncertainty about interest rates …
Carbon vix: Carbon price uncertainty and decarbonization investments
M Fuchs, J Stroebel, J Terstegge - 2024 - nber.org
We study the effects of carbon price uncertainty on firms' decisions to decarbonize their
operations. We first use information on the pricing of options on emission allowances in the …
operations. We first use information on the pricing of options on emission allowances in the …
Long‐Run Risk: Is It There?
Y Liu, B Matthies - The Journal of Finance, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper documents the existence of a persistent component in consumption growth. We
take a novel approach using news coverage to capture investor concern about economic …
take a novel approach using news coverage to capture investor concern about economic …
International spillovers of US financial volatility
We study the international spillover effects of US bond and stock market volatility using a
panel data set of seventeen developed countries. We find significant spillover impacts of US …
panel data set of seventeen developed countries. We find significant spillover impacts of US …
Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting
T Fang, D Miao, Z Su, L Yin - Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting international stock market volatility using the oil volatility risk premium (OVRP) is
important for asset allocation and financial risk management. In previous literature, the issue …
important for asset allocation and financial risk management. In previous literature, the issue …
The crucial role of the five-year Treasury in the US yield curve
YL Chen - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper analyzes the connectedness and spillover transmission mechanism in the US
Treasury yields with different maturities than previous studies which focused on the spread …
Treasury yields with different maturities than previous studies which focused on the spread …