Performance metrics (error measures) in machine learning regression, forecasting and prognostics: Properties and typology

A Botchkarev - arXiv preprint arXiv:1809.03006, 2018 - arxiv.org
Performance metrics (error measures) are vital components of the evaluation frameworks in
various fields. The intention of this study was to overview of a variety of performance metrics …

A new typology design of performance metrics to measure errors in machine learning regression algorithms

A Botchkarev - Interdisciplinary Journal of Information …, 2019 - informingscience.org
Aim/Purpose: The aim of this study was to analyze various performance metrics and
approaches to their classification. The main goal of the study was to develop a new typology …

Improving inflation forecasts using robust measures

R Verbrugge, S Zaman - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract Theory and extant empirical evidence suggest that the cross-sectional asymmetry
across disaggregated price indexes might be useful in forecasting aggregate inflation …

[PDF][PDF] Debt transfers in financial networks: Complexity and equilibria

P Kanellopoulos, M Kyropoulou… - Proceedings of the 2023 …, 2023 - southampton.ac.uk
We consider the operation of debt transfer in interbank networks. In particular, assuming a
financial system that is represented by a network of banks and their bilateral debt contracts …

Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison

J Dolmas, EF Koenig - 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
Trimmed-mean personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation does not clearly dominate
PCE inflation excluding food and energy in real-time forecasting of headline PCE inflation …

Is it time to reassess the focal role of core PCE inflation in assessing the trend in PCE inflation?

R Verbrugge - Economia, 2022 - revistas.pucp.edu.pe
Abstract “Core” PCE inflation—that is, inflation in PCE-ex-food-and-energy—is widely used
as an estimate of trend inflation. But it is long overdue for replacement. The original rationale …

[图书][B] Inflation, inflation expectations, and the Phillips curve

YG Chen - 2019 - cbo.gov
This paper studies the current state of inflation dynamics through the lens of the Phillips
curve and assesses the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations. I first estimate a …

Evaluating performance of inflation forecasting models of Pakistan

MN Hanif, MJ Malik - 2015 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
This study compares the forecasting performance of various models of inflation for a
developing country estimated over the period of last two decades. Performance is measured …

Forecasting GDP growth with NIPA aggregates: In search of core GDP

C Garciga, ES Knotek II - International Journal of Forecasting, 2019 - Elsevier
In addition to GDP, which is measured using expenditure data, the US national income and
product accounts (NIPAs) provide a variety of measures of economic activity, including gross …

An alternative measure of core inflation: the Trimmed Persistence PCE price index

J O'Trakoun - Business Economics, 2023 - Springer
I introduce the “trimmed persistence PCE,” a new measure of core inflation in which
component prices are weighted according to the time-varying persistence of their price …