Abstract The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) is a convection-allowing
implementation of the Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecast …

Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for
society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical …

Thunderstorms are one of the most damaging weather phenomena in the United States, but
they are also one of the least predictable. This unpredictable nature can make it especially …

Abstract The Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO), issued operationally from the Weather
Prediction Center (WPC), serves the Weather and Water Enterprise and decision-makers …

Abstract An experimental Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) ensemble data assimilation
(DA) and prediction system at 1-km grid spacing is developed and tested using two …

Mesoscale snowbands are impactful winter weather phenomena but are challenging to
predict due to small-scale forcings and ingredients. Previous work has established that even …

We used object-oriented verification and self-organizing maps (SOMs) to identify patterns in
environmental parameters correlating with mesoscale snowband predictive skill by the High …

Shortly after 0600 UTC (midnight MDT) 9 June 2020, a rapidly intensifying and elongating
convective system produced a macroburst and extensive damage in the town of Akron on …

Weather systems are highly chaotic processes affected by both large-and small-scale
atmospheric variations. Precipitation forecasting is a long-studied and challenging task …

Thunderstorms are one of the most damaging weather phenomena in the United States, but
they are also one of the least predictable. This unpredictable nature can make it especially …