A subjective spin on roulette wheels
We provide a simple behavioral definition of 'subjective mixture'of acts for a large class of
(not necessarily expected‐utility) preferences. Subjective mixtures enjoy the same algebraic …
(not necessarily expected‐utility) preferences. Subjective mixtures enjoy the same algebraic …
An axiomatic model of non-Bayesian updating
LG Epstein - The Review of Economic Studies, 2006 - academic.oup.com
This paper models an agent in a three-period setting who does not update according to
Bayes' Rule and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behaviour when formulating …
Bayes' Rule and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behaviour when formulating …
Random correspondences as bundles of random variables
A Castaldo, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci - Sankhyā: The Indian Journal of …, 2004 - JSTOR
We relate the distributions induced by random sets with the distributions induced by their
measurable selections, thus providing a probabilistic foundation for viewing random sets as" …
measurable selections, thus providing a probabilistic foundation for viewing random sets as" …
Exactly what happens after the Anscombe–Aumann race? Representing preferences in vague environments
ML Vierø - Economic Theory, 2009 - Springer
This paper derives a representation of preferences for a choice theory with vague
environments; vague in the sense that the agent does not know the precise lotteries over …
environments; vague in the sense that the agent does not know the precise lotteries over …
Indecisiveness aversion and preference for commitment
We present an axiomatic model of preferences over menus that is motivated by three
assumptions. First, the decision maker is uncertain ex ante (ie, at the time of choosing a …
assumptions. First, the decision maker is uncertain ex ante (ie, at the time of choosing a …
Preference for flexibility and dynamic consistency
G Riella - Journal of Economic Theory, 2013 - Elsevier
Abstract Dekel, Lipman, and Rustichini [3] characterize preferences over menus of lotteries
that can be represented by the use of a unique subjective state space and a prior. We …
that can be represented by the use of a unique subjective state space and a prior. We …
Subjective probability over a subjective decision tree
N Takeoka - Journal of Economic Theory, 2007 - Elsevier
A state space has been assumed as a primitive for modeling uncertainty, which presumes
that the analyst knows all the uncertainties a decision maker (DM) perceives. This is …
that the analyst knows all the uncertainties a decision maker (DM) perceives. This is …
Probabilistic representation of complexity
NI Al-Najjar, R Casadesus-Masanell… - Journal of Economic …, 2003 - Elsevier
We introduce a framework to study individuals' behavior in environments that are
deterministic, but too complex to permit tractable deterministic representations. An agent in …
deterministic, but too complex to permit tractable deterministic representations. An agent in …
Contingent preference for flexibility: Eliciting beliefs from behavior
P Sadowski - Theoretical Economics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Following Kreps (1979), I consider a decision maker who is uncertain about her future taste.
This uncertainty leaves the decision maker with a preference for flexibility: When choosing …
This uncertainty leaves the decision maker with a preference for flexibility: When choosing …
Inter-temporal preference for flexibility and risky choice
A Kraus, JS Sagi - Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2006 - Elsevier
We derive an inter-temporal theory of choice, in the spirit of Kreps and Porteus [Kreps, DM,
Porteus, EL, 1978. Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory …
Porteus, EL, 1978. Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory …