A subjective spin on roulette wheels

P Ghirardato, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
We provide a simple behavioral definition of 'subjective mixture'of acts for a large class of
(not necessarily expected‐utility) preferences. Subjective mixtures enjoy the same algebraic …

An axiomatic model of non-Bayesian updating

LG Epstein - The Review of Economic Studies, 2006 - academic.oup.com
This paper models an agent in a three-period setting who does not update according to
Bayes' Rule and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behaviour when formulating …

Random correspondences as bundles of random variables

A Castaldo, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci - Sankhyā: The Indian Journal of …, 2004 - JSTOR
We relate the distributions induced by random sets with the distributions induced by their
measurable selections, thus providing a probabilistic foundation for viewing random sets as" …

Exactly what happens after the Anscombe–Aumann race? Representing preferences in vague environments

ML Vierø - Economic Theory, 2009 - Springer
This paper derives a representation of preferences for a choice theory with vague
environments; vague in the sense that the agent does not know the precise lotteries over …

Indecisiveness aversion and preference for commitment

E Danan, A Guerdjikova, A Zimper - Theory and Decision, 2012 - Springer
We present an axiomatic model of preferences over menus that is motivated by three
assumptions. First, the decision maker is uncertain ex ante (ie, at the time of choosing a …

Preference for flexibility and dynamic consistency

G Riella - Journal of Economic Theory, 2013 - Elsevier
Abstract Dekel, Lipman, and Rustichini [3] characterize preferences over menus of lotteries
that can be represented by the use of a unique subjective state space and a prior. We …

Subjective probability over a subjective decision tree

N Takeoka - Journal of Economic Theory, 2007 - Elsevier
A state space has been assumed as a primitive for modeling uncertainty, which presumes
that the analyst knows all the uncertainties a decision maker (DM) perceives. This is …

Probabilistic representation of complexity

NI Al-Najjar, R Casadesus-Masanell… - Journal of Economic …, 2003 - Elsevier
We introduce a framework to study individuals' behavior in environments that are
deterministic, but too complex to permit tractable deterministic representations. An agent in …

Contingent preference for flexibility: Eliciting beliefs from behavior

P Sadowski - Theoretical Economics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Following Kreps (1979), I consider a decision maker who is uncertain about her future taste.
This uncertainty leaves the decision maker with a preference for flexibility: When choosing …

Inter-temporal preference for flexibility and risky choice

A Kraus, JS Sagi - Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2006 - Elsevier
We derive an inter-temporal theory of choice, in the spirit of Kreps and Porteus [Kreps, DM,
Porteus, EL, 1978. Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory …