Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update

D Blake, AJG Cairns - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract This Special Issue of Insurance: Mathematics and Economics contains 16
contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets …

Is mortality or interest rate the most important risk in annuity models? A comparison of sensitivity analysis methods

G Rabitti, E Borgonovo - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
Demographic and financial factors are key risk-drivers for insurance companies and pension
funds. This paper proposes a systematic investigation for deepening our understanding how …

Mortality improvement rates: modeling, parameter uncertainty, and robustness

A Hunt, AM Villegas - North American Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Rather than looking at mortality rates directly, a number of recent academic studies have
looked at modeling rates of improvement in mortality when making mortality projections …

Longevity risk and capital markets: the 2021–22 update

D Blake, AJG Cairns, M Kallestrup-Lamb… - Journal of …, 2023 - cambridge.org
This special issue of the Journal of Demographic Economics contains 10 contributions to the
academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the …

Vulnerability assessment of heat waves within a risk framework using artificial intelligence

JN Côté, M Germain, E Levac, E Lavigne - Science of the Total Environment, 2024 - Elsevier
Current efforts to adapt to climate change are not sufficient to reduce projected impacts.
Vulnerability assessments are essential to allocate resources where they are needed most …

A Bibliometric Analysis of Research on Stochastic Mortality Modelling and Forecasting

N Redzwan, R Ramli - Risks, 2022 - mdpi.com
Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades,
leading to growing interest in understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of …

Multi-output Gaussian processes for multi-population longevity modelling

N Huynh, M Ludkovski - Annals of Actuarial Science, 2021 - cambridge.org
We investigate joint modelling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of
Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality …

Expressive Mortality Models through Gaussian Process Kernels

M Ludkovski, J Risk - arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.01728, 2023 - arxiv.org
We develop a flexible Gaussian Process (GP) framework for learning the covariance
structure of Age-and Year-specific mortality surfaces. Utilizing the additive and multiplicative …

Robust non-parametric mortality and fertility modelling and forecasting: Gaussian process regression approaches

KK Lam, B Wang - Forecasting, 2021 - mdpi.com
A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed
countries over the past few decades. An accurate model for forecasting demographic …

Health Transition Probability and Long‐Term Care Cost Estimation

X Cui, X Duan, CT Chang… - Mathematical Problems in …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The cost of long‐term care (LTC) is one of the huge financial risks faced by the elderly and
also is a significant challenge to the social security system. This article establishes a …