Assessing the extreme risk spillovers of international commodities on maritime markets: a GARCH-Copula-CoVaR approach
Maritime market relies on demand of international commodity trade from producers to
consumers. Focusing on measuring the inherent correlation, this paper employs a GARCH …
consumers. Focusing on measuring the inherent correlation, this paper employs a GARCH …
Commodity and transportation economic market interactions revisited: new evidence from a dynamic factor model
J Angelopoulos, S Sahoo, ID Visvikis - Transportation Research Part E …, 2020 - Elsevier
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper, to utilise a novel dynamic factor model to
investigate the economic relationships between 65 commodity (including oil, energy, metal …
investigate the economic relationships between 65 commodity (including oil, energy, metal …
[HTML][HTML] The relationship between commodity prices and freight rates in the dry bulk shipping segment: A threshold regression approach
KD Melas, NA Michail - Maritime Transport Research, 2021 - Elsevier
We examine for the existence of threshold relationships in the commodity price–charter rate
nexus. Using the first lag of the commodity price change as the threshold variable, we find …
nexus. Using the first lag of the commodity price change as the threshold variable, we find …
[HTML][HTML] A novel approach to forecasting the bulk freight market
The fast-paced and ever changing freight market compels maritime executives to use sound
forecasting tools. This paper aims to enhance the forecasting accuracy of the Baltic Dry …
forecasting tools. This paper aims to enhance the forecasting accuracy of the Baltic Dry …
[HTML][HTML] Artificial neural networks in freight rate forecasting
Z Yang, EE Mehmed - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2019 - Springer
Reliable freight rate forecasts are essential to stimulate ocean transportation and ensure
stakeholder benefits in a highly volatile shipping market. However, compared to traditional …
stakeholder benefits in a highly volatile shipping market. However, compared to traditional …
The asymmetric relationship between Baltic Dry Index and commodity spot prices: evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test
A Bandyopadhyay, P Rajib - Mineral Economics, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a unique gauge for measuring the marine
transportation of major dry bulk shipments. Increased sea freight is a precursor to the …
transportation of major dry bulk shipments. Increased sea freight is a precursor to the …
Panamax markets behaviour: explaining volatility and expectations
I Karaoulanis, T Pelagidis - Journal of Shipping and Trade, 2021 - Springer
It is widely accepted that the highly volatile Panamax market has many peculiarities; for
example, Panamax vessels transport the major and the minor dry bulk cargoes worldwide. In …
example, Panamax vessels transport the major and the minor dry bulk cargoes worldwide. In …
[HTML][HTML] Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
NA Michail, KD Melas - The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 2021 - Elsevier
We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-
going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction …
going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction …
Long-term memory law and empirical research on dry bulks shipping market fluctuations
H Xu, B Tao, Y Shu, Y Wang - Ocean & Coastal Management, 2021 - Elsevier
The international dry bulk shipping market is a complex and changeable shipping market,
which is affected by the world's external economic and trade environment. It is difficult for the …
which is affected by the world's external economic and trade environment. It is difficult for the …
A hedging policy for seaborne forward freight markets based on probabilistic forecasts
Rate volatilities in seaborne freight markets lead charterers and ship owners to use financial
agreements such as Forward Freight Agreements (FFA) for fixing freight rates in advance …
agreements such as Forward Freight Agreements (FFA) for fixing freight rates in advance …