Assessing the extreme risk spillovers of international commodities on maritime markets: a GARCH-Copula-CoVaR approach

X Sun, C Liu, J Wang, J Li - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2020 - Elsevier
Maritime market relies on demand of international commodity trade from producers to
consumers. Focusing on measuring the inherent correlation, this paper employs a GARCH …

Commodity and transportation economic market interactions revisited: new evidence from a dynamic factor model

J Angelopoulos, S Sahoo, ID Visvikis - Transportation Research Part E …, 2020 - Elsevier
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper, to utilise a novel dynamic factor model to
investigate the economic relationships between 65 commodity (including oil, energy, metal …

[HTML][HTML] The relationship between commodity prices and freight rates in the dry bulk shipping segment: A threshold regression approach

KD Melas, NA Michail - Maritime Transport Research, 2021 - Elsevier
We examine for the existence of threshold relationships in the commodity price–charter rate
nexus. Using the first lag of the commodity price change as the threshold variable, we find …

[HTML][HTML] A novel approach to forecasting the bulk freight market

V Tsioumas, S Papadimitriou, Y Smirlis… - The Asian Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
The fast-paced and ever changing freight market compels maritime executives to use sound
forecasting tools. This paper aims to enhance the forecasting accuracy of the Baltic Dry …

[HTML][HTML] Artificial neural networks in freight rate forecasting

Z Yang, EE Mehmed - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2019 - Springer
Reliable freight rate forecasts are essential to stimulate ocean transportation and ensure
stakeholder benefits in a highly volatile shipping market. However, compared to traditional …

The asymmetric relationship between Baltic Dry Index and commodity spot prices: evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test

A Bandyopadhyay, P Rajib - Mineral Economics, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a unique gauge for measuring the marine
transportation of major dry bulk shipments. Increased sea freight is a precursor to the …

Panamax markets behaviour: explaining volatility and expectations

I Karaoulanis, T Pelagidis - Journal of Shipping and Trade, 2021 - Springer
It is widely accepted that the highly volatile Panamax market has many peculiarities; for
example, Panamax vessels transport the major and the minor dry bulk cargoes worldwide. In …

[HTML][HTML] Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market

NA Michail, KD Melas - The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 2021 - Elsevier
We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-
going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction …

Long-term memory law and empirical research on dry bulks shipping market fluctuations

H Xu, B Tao, Y Shu, Y Wang - Ocean & Coastal Management, 2021 - Elsevier
The international dry bulk shipping market is a complex and changeable shipping market,
which is affected by the world's external economic and trade environment. It is difficult for the …

A hedging policy for seaborne forward freight markets based on probabilistic forecasts

B Sel, S Minner - Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and …, 2022 - Elsevier
Rate volatilities in seaborne freight markets lead charterers and ship owners to use financial
agreements such as Forward Freight Agreements (FFA) for fixing freight rates in advance …