Alternatives to bayesian updating

P Ortoleva - Annual Review of Economics, 2022 - annualreviews.org
We discuss models of updating that depart from Bayes' rule even when it is well-defined.
After reviewing Bayes' rule and its foundations, we begin our analysis with models of non …

Updating: a psychologically basic situation of probability revision

J Baratgin, G Politzer - Thinking & Reasoning, 2010 - Taylor & Francis
The Bayesian model has been used in psychology as the standard reference for the study of
probability revision. In the first part of this paper we show that this traditional choice restricts …

Inertial updating

A Dominiak, M Kovach, G Tserenjigmid - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.06336, 2023 - arxiv.org
We introduce and characterize inertial updating of beliefs. Under inertial updating, a
decision maker (DM) chooses a belief that minimizes the subjective distance between their …

Visions of a generalized probability theory

F Cuzzolin - arXiv preprint arXiv:1810.10341, 2018 - arxiv.org
In this Book we argue that the fruitful interaction of computer vision and belief calculus is
capable of stimulating significant advances in both fields. From a methodological point of …

Consonant Approximations of Belief Functions

F Cuzzolin - IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, 2013 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In this paper, we solve the problem of approximating a belief measure with a necessity
measure or “consonant belief function” in a geometric framework. Consonant belief functions …

[PDF][PDF] Minimum distance belief updating with general information

A Dominiak, M Kovach, G Tserenjigmid - 2021 - economics.ucr.edu
We study belief revision when information is given as a set of relevant probability
distributions. This flexible setting encompasses (i) the standard notion of information as an …

Pseudo‐Bayesian updating

C Zhao - Theoretical Economics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
I propose an axiomatic framework for belief revision when new information is qualitative, of
the form “event A is at least as likely as event B.” My decision maker need not have beliefs …

Bayesian updating rules and AGM belief revision

P Basu - Journal of Economic Theory, 2019 - Elsevier
We interpret the problem of updating beliefs as a choice problem (selecting a posterior from
a set of admissible posteriors) with a reference point (prior). We use AGM belief revision to …

[PDF][PDF] Geometric conditioning of belief functions

F Cuzzolin - Proceedings of BELIEF, 2010 - Citeseer
In this paper we study the problem of conditioning a belief function b with respect to an event
A by geometrically projecting such belief function onto the simplex associated with A in the …

The geometry of uncertainty

F Cuzzolin - 2015 - Springer
Uncertainty is of paramount importance in artificial intelligence, applied science, and many
other areas of human endeavour. Whilst each and every one of us possesses some intuitive …