Exchange rate predictability

B Rossi - Journal of economic literature, 2013 - aeaweb.org
The main goal of this article is to provide an answer to the question: does anything forecast
exchange rates, and if so, which variables? It is well known that exchange rate fluctuations …

Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size

B Rossi, A Inoue - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
This article proposes new methodologies for evaluating economic models' out-of-sample
forecasting performance that are robust to the choice of the estimation window size. The …

Evaluating direct multistep forecasts

TE Clark, MW McCracken - Econometric Reviews, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
This paper examines the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of tests of equal forecast
accuracy and encompassing applied to direct, multistep predictions from nested regression …

Neural networks in finance and economics forecasting

W Huang, KK Lai, Y Nakamori, S Wang… - International Journal of …, 2007 - World Scientific
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been widely applied to finance and economic
forecasting as a powerful modeling technique. By reviewing the related literature, we …

Networks in financial markets based on the mutual information rate

P Fiedor - Physical Review E, 2014 - APS
In the last few years there have been many efforts in econophysics studying how network
theory can facilitate understanding of complex financial markets. These efforts consist mainly …

[PDF][PDF] Comparing linear regression and artificial neural networks to forecast total productivity growth in Iran

A Aliahmadi, M Jafari-Eskandari… - … Journal of Information …, 2016 - researchgate.net
In the recent years we have seen widespread discussion about productivity. The most
common measures of productivity that are widely used by economists and business …

Nonlinear neural network forecasting model for stock index option price: Hybrid GJR–GARCH approach

YH Wang - Expert Systems with Applications, 2009 - Elsevier
This study integrated new hybrid asymmetric volatility approach into artificial neural
networks option-pricing model to improve forecasting ability of derivative securities price …

Technical trading-rule profitability, data snooping, and reality check: Evidence from the foreign exchange market

M Qi, Y Wu - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2006 - JSTOR
We report evidence on the profitability and statistical significance among 2,127 technical
trading rules. The best rules are found to be significantly profiTable based on standard tests …

[图书][B] Foreign-exchange-rate forecasting with artificial neural networks

L Yu, S Wang, KK Lai - 2007 - books.google.com
The book focuses on forecasting foreign exchange rates via artificial neural networks. It
creates and applies the highly useful computational techniques of Artificial Neural Networks …

Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model

S Chen, WK Härdle, K Jeong - Journal of Forecasting, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Recently, support vector machine (SVM), a novel artificial neural network (ANN), has been
successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVM in …