Variance risk premia, asset predictability puzzles, and macroeconomic uncertainty
H Zhou - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2018 - annualreviews.org
This article reviews the predictability evidence on the variance risk premium:(a) It predicts
significant positive risk premia across equity, bond, currency, and credit markets;(b) the …
significant positive risk premia across equity, bond, currency, and credit markets;(b) the …
Stock return predictability and variance risk premia: Statistical inference and international evidence
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock
market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this …
market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this …
Belief dispersion in the stock market
We develop a dynamic model of belief dispersion with a continuum of investors differing in
beliefs. The model is tractable and qualitatively matches many of the empirical regularities in …
beliefs. The model is tractable and qualitatively matches many of the empirical regularities in …
Low‐risk anomalies?
This paper shows that low‐risk anomalies in the capital asset pricing model and in
traditional factor models arise when investors require compensation for coskewness risk …
traditional factor models arise when investors require compensation for coskewness risk …
Asset prices with heterogeneity in preferences and beliefs
In this paper, we study asset prices in a dynamic, continuous-time, and general-equilibrium
endowment economy in which agents have “catching up with the Joneses” utility functions …
endowment economy in which agents have “catching up with the Joneses” utility functions …
When uncertainty blows in the orchard: Comovement and equilibrium volatility risk premia
We provide novel evidence for an equilibrium link between investors' disagreement, the
market price of volatility and correlation, and the differential pricing of index and individual …
market price of volatility and correlation, and the differential pricing of index and individual …
Limited arbitrage between equity and credit markets
We document that short-horizon pricing discrepancies across firms' equity and credit
markets are common and that an economically significant proportion of these are …
markets are common and that an economically significant proportion of these are …
Does oil and gold price uncertainty matter for the stock market?
We proxy uncertainty in the stock oil and gold markets with the variance risk premia,
extracted from futures and option contracts. We observe that an independent increase in the …
extracted from futures and option contracts. We observe that an independent increase in the …
Differences in beliefs and currency risk premiums
A Beber, F Breedon, A Buraschi - Journal of Financial Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
This paper studies the importance of heterogeneous beliefs for the dynamics of asset prices.
We focus on currency markets, where the absence of short-selling constraints allows us to …
We focus on currency markets, where the absence of short-selling constraints allows us to …
The nexus between geopolitical uncertainty and crude oil markets: An entropy-based wavelet analysis
The global financial crisis and the subsequent geopolitical turbulence in energy markets
have brought increased attention to the proper statistical modeling especially of the crude oil …
have brought increased attention to the proper statistical modeling especially of the crude oil …