Coping with uncertainty in climate policy making:(Mis) understanding scenario studies

B Enserink, JH Kwakkel, S Veenman - Futures, 2013 - Elsevier
This article explores how climate scientists and policy makers deal with uncertainty in
climate information. It shows–what is generally said but rarely empirically examined–that …

[HTML][HTML] 'Plausible'energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures

R Schmidt-Scheele - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
Explorative energy scenarios do not present the most probable developments but provide a
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …

Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios: A case analysis of the use of 'scenario improvisation'method

G Cairns, G Wright, P Fairbrother - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2016 - Elsevier
In this paper we present a novel application of scenario methods to engage a diverse
constituency of senior stakeholders, with limited time availability, in debate to inform …

Staging expertise in times of COVID-19: An analysis of the science-policy-society interface in the Dutch “intelligent lockdown”

R Prettner, H Te Molder, MA Hajer… - Frontiers in …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
The corona crisis of 2020 took many by surprise. Quite suddenly, politicians had to make
drastic decisions to guarantee public health, affecting basic civil liberties. In justifying their …

Futures studies and uncertainty in public policy: A case study on the ageing population in the Netherlands

SA Veenman - Futures, 2013 - Elsevier
Policy issues such as sustainability, healthcare and the financial crisis emphasise the
importance of anticipating the long-term perspective. In practice, however, it is difficult to …

[HTML][HTML] The anatomy of plausible futures in policy processes: Comparing the cases of data protection and comprehensive security

M Minkkinen - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019 - Elsevier
Due to rapid change and wicked policy problems, anticipatory policymaking is increasingly
important. In addition to methods for producing foresight knowledge, tools are needed to …

Mission-oriented scenarios: a new method for urban foresight

C Marciano, A Fergnani, A Robiati - foresight, 2024 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this study is to propose an innovative and efficient process in urban
policy-making that combines a divergent and creative method with a convergent and …

Environmental outlooks: How they frame futures and long term uncertainty

S Veenman, P Leroy - Futures, 2016 - Elsevier
Futures studies intend to structure our knowledge and our judgement about the future by
handling facts and values in a certain way. In other words, futures studies frame futures …

[PDF][PDF] New Zealand's health workforce planning should embrace complexity and uncertainty

GH Rees, P Crampton, R Gauld… - The New Zealand …, 2018 - researchgate.net
ABSTRACT Concerns over New Zealand's health workforce su iciency, distribution and
sustainability continue. Proposed solutions tend to focus on supplying medical professionals …

A New Paradigm for Resilient Urban Infrastructure Planning: Game-Changing Interventions, Tipping Points, and Capacities

M Moglia, RM Wise, S Meharg - Future Cities Making: Mission-oriented …, 2024 - Springer
What infrastructure do Australian cities need over the next century? Planning for, delivering,
and maintaining infrastructure that is usually long-lived and expensive in a rapidly changing …