Coping with uncertainty in climate policy making:(Mis) understanding scenario studies
This article explores how climate scientists and policy makers deal with uncertainty in
climate information. It shows–what is generally said but rarely empirically examined–that …
climate information. It shows–what is generally said but rarely empirically examined–that …
[HTML][HTML] 'Plausible'energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures
R Schmidt-Scheele - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
Explorative energy scenarios do not present the most probable developments but provide a
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios: A case analysis of the use of 'scenario improvisation'method
G Cairns, G Wright, P Fairbrother - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2016 - Elsevier
In this paper we present a novel application of scenario methods to engage a diverse
constituency of senior stakeholders, with limited time availability, in debate to inform …
constituency of senior stakeholders, with limited time availability, in debate to inform …
Staging expertise in times of COVID-19: An analysis of the science-policy-society interface in the Dutch “intelligent lockdown”
The corona crisis of 2020 took many by surprise. Quite suddenly, politicians had to make
drastic decisions to guarantee public health, affecting basic civil liberties. In justifying their …
drastic decisions to guarantee public health, affecting basic civil liberties. In justifying their …
Futures studies and uncertainty in public policy: A case study on the ageing population in the Netherlands
SA Veenman - Futures, 2013 - Elsevier
Policy issues such as sustainability, healthcare and the financial crisis emphasise the
importance of anticipating the long-term perspective. In practice, however, it is difficult to …
importance of anticipating the long-term perspective. In practice, however, it is difficult to …
[HTML][HTML] The anatomy of plausible futures in policy processes: Comparing the cases of data protection and comprehensive security
M Minkkinen - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019 - Elsevier
Due to rapid change and wicked policy problems, anticipatory policymaking is increasingly
important. In addition to methods for producing foresight knowledge, tools are needed to …
important. In addition to methods for producing foresight knowledge, tools are needed to …
Mission-oriented scenarios: a new method for urban foresight
C Marciano, A Fergnani, A Robiati - foresight, 2024 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this study is to propose an innovative and efficient process in urban
policy-making that combines a divergent and creative method with a convergent and …
policy-making that combines a divergent and creative method with a convergent and …
Environmental outlooks: How they frame futures and long term uncertainty
S Veenman, P Leroy - Futures, 2016 - Elsevier
Futures studies intend to structure our knowledge and our judgement about the future by
handling facts and values in a certain way. In other words, futures studies frame futures …
handling facts and values in a certain way. In other words, futures studies frame futures …
[PDF][PDF] New Zealand's health workforce planning should embrace complexity and uncertainty
ABSTRACT Concerns over New Zealand's health workforce su iciency, distribution and
sustainability continue. Proposed solutions tend to focus on supplying medical professionals …
sustainability continue. Proposed solutions tend to focus on supplying medical professionals …
A New Paradigm for Resilient Urban Infrastructure Planning: Game-Changing Interventions, Tipping Points, and Capacities
What infrastructure do Australian cities need over the next century? Planning for, delivering,
and maintaining infrastructure that is usually long-lived and expensive in a rapidly changing …
and maintaining infrastructure that is usually long-lived and expensive in a rapidly changing …