Measuring people's covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations
Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to
assess a posterior probability (ie, a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (ie …
assess a posterior probability (ie, a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (ie …
[HTML][HTML] How to teach Bayesian reasoning: An empirical study comparing four different probability training courses
Background Bayesian reasoning is understood as the updating of hypotheses based on
new evidence (eg, the likelihood of an infection based on medical test results). As experts …
new evidence (eg, the likelihood of an infection based on medical test results). As experts …
How general is the natural frequency effect? The case of joint probabilities
Natural frequencies are known to improve performance in Bayesian reasoning. However,
their impact in situations with two binary events has not yet been completely examined, as …
their impact in situations with two binary events has not yet been completely examined, as …