Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability

PI Palmer, CM Wainwright, B Dong… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Eastern Africa exhibits bimodal rainfall consisting of long rains (March–May) and short rains
(October–December), changes in which have profound socioeconomic and environmental …

Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes

HJ Fowler, G Lenderink, AF Prein, S Westra… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Short-duration (1–3 h) rainfall extremes can cause serious damage to societies
through rapidly developing (flash) flooding and are determined by complex, multifaceted …

Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate

SI Seneviratne, X Zhang, M Adnan, W Badi… - 2021 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
Caption: Table A. 11. 2. Synthesis table summarising assessments presented in Tables 11.4-
11.21 for hot extremes (HOT EXT.), heavy precipitation (HEAVY PRECIP.), agriculture and …

Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps

P Lucas‐Picher, D Argüeso, E Brisson… - Wiley …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Approximately 10 years ago, convection‐permitting regional climate models (CPRCMs)
emerged as a promising computationally affordable tool to produce fine resolution (1–4 km) …

Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change

CM Wainwright, DL Finney, M Kilavi, E Black… - …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Figure 2. Timeseries of Dipole Mode Index (a, b) and SST anomaly (c), air temperature
anomaly (d), precipitation anomaly (e) and 850hPa wind anomaly (f) for OND 2019. In (f) the …

[HTML][HTML] Debilitating floods in the Sahel are becoming frequent

NA Elagib, IS Al Zayed, SAG Saad, MI Mahmood… - Journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
Despite the long-lasting and widespread drought in the Sahel, flood events did punctuate in
the past. The concern about floods remains dwarf on the international research and policy …

Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model

S Chapman, CE Birch, MV Galdos… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
East Africa is highly reliant on agriculture and has high rates of soil erosion which negatively
impact agricultural yields. Climate projections suggest that rainfall intensity will increase in …

Near-term regional climate change in East Africa

YW Choi, DJ Campbell, EAB Eltahir - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
In the coming few decades, projected increases in global temperature and humidity are
generally expected to exacerbate human exposure to climate extremes (eg, humid-heat and …

Pathways of degradation in rangelands in Northern Tanzania show their loss of resistance, but potential for recovery

JH Wiethase, R Critchlow, C Foley, L Foley… - Scientific reports, 2023 - nature.com
Semiarid rangelands are identified as at high risk of degradation due to anthropogenic
pressure and climate change. Through tracking timelines of degradation we aimed to …

[HTML][HTML] Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa

CA Senior, JH Marsham, S Berthou… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Pan-Africa convection-permitting regional climate model simulations have been performed
to study the impact of high resolution and the explicit representation of atmospheric moist …